Commodities Market Impact Weather: Continued Drier Trend in Central U.S.

   OMAHA--Continued, mostly dry conditions in the central U.S., and scattered rainfall in central

Brazil are the primary weather items for the commodity trade's attention Monday.

FAVORABLE CENTRAL U.S. PATTERN

  The DTN ag weather forecast calls for continued mostly dry conditions in the central U.S. during

the next week to 10 days. This pattern will favor field and crop drying along with harvest progress

and winter-wheat planting in the Midwest and Delta, while maintaining favorable conditions for crop

activity in the Plains.

WEEKEND SHOWERS IN BRAZIL

  Central Brazil received some localized thundershowers during the weekend, which brought soil

moisture benefit along with some relief from recent extreme heat. This week's forecast suggests a

continued chance for showers in the region. Additional precipitation is needed for a restart to

soybean planting.

MINIMAL RAIN FOR BRAZIL COFFEE BELT

  Southeast Brazil has seen a few very light showers during the past 24 hours, which haven't been

enough to ease stress to flowering coffee trees or to recently planted new crop sugarcane. The next

chance for showers comes later this weekend or early next week. The rain amounts appear to be very

light and of little benefit. The 10-15-day time frame also points to more extensive showers, but

this is very uncertain.

WIDESPREAD SHOWERS IN BLACK SEA REGION

  In the Black Sea region, light to moderate showers with locally heavier amounts developed through

southwest, central and northeast Ukraine at the end of last week. A few showers also moved into the

Black Soils region of Russia. A second area of light to moderate rain also formed in Crimea and

North Caucasus Russia Friday-Saturday. Showers maintain more favorable growing conditions for winter

grains while causing minor and local delays to the harvest of summer crops.

MIXED RAIN FOR SOUTH AFRICA

  South Africa's eastern crop areas saw moderate to heavy rains during the past few days. The rain

favors early development of the new sugarcane crop but there may be some fieldwork delays. Showers

in eastern maize areas may encourage more planting. However, western areas are still too dry for

widespread planting to begin.

SOUTH INDIA RAINFALL

  Rains from the withdrawing monsoon are noted in south India through Sri Lanka. This will favor

late-developing summer crops and early growth of winter crops in these locations.