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terça-feira, 20 de janeiro de 2015

Brazil Coffee Weather Greater Shower Activity, But No General Soaking Rain  
 By Drew Lerner

Kansas City, January 20 (World Weather, Inc.) – Dry and warm conditions prevailed in Brazil coffee areas over the past few days. Northern production areas from Bahia into Zona de Mata will likely continue in a net drying pattern for at least another week, despite a few showers. Areas to the south will experience the development of erratically distributed showers and thunderstorms with highly varying amounts of rainfall. Most areas will not see a tremendous improvement in crop or soil conditions, but some change is expected.
BRAZIL

Most Brazil coffee areas were left dry during the Friday through Monday morning period. A few showers occurred randomly, but none of them were great enough rain producers for a boost in soil moisture. All coffee areas dried out during the period. Temperatures were warm with most highs in the upper 20s and 30s Celsius and lows in the upper teens and lower 20s.
Showers and thunderstorms will be increasing this week, but the precipitation that falls from Sul de Minas northward to Bahia and Espirito Santo will be a general disappointment through Saturday. The presence of showers will help raise humidity and offer slower rates of declining crop and soil conditions, but until a general soaking of rain falls there will not be any dramatic changes.




The showers that occur Tuesday through Saturday will produce 1 to 15 millimeters of rain most often each day, but an occasional amount to 30 millimeters will be possible. Almost all of the greatest rain will fall in Parana and Sap Paulo, but a few locations in Sul de Minas may getsome greater rain. The greater rainfall in Sul de Minas will be more a fluke in the prevailing pattern rather than a trend changing occurrence. With that said, it will not be nearly as dry in the absolute sense as it has been, but a bigger boost in rainfall will be needed to make a more serious change in conditions.

Rain that falls in northern Rio de Janeiro, Zona de Mata, Espirito Santo, northern Minas Gerais and Bahia will be much less frequent and less significant than that to the south. Net drying is likely in all five of these regions, although some rain may occur infrequently and lightly.

The best opportunity for more significant rain will occur next week, but much caution is advised. The change is subtle and will likely still leave a need for greater rain. However, with that said, there will be a daily scattering of showers and thunderstorms from Parana through Sul de Minas, Zona de Mata and Cerrado northward to northern Minas Gerais and a few central Bahia locations. Rain totals on a daily basis will vary from 1 to 15 millimeters in the north with low coverage. Daily rainfall in Sul de Minas, Cerrado and Rio de Janeiro southward to Parana will vary from 8 to 20 millimeters with a few areas to receive more than 32.

Temperatures will change very little over the next two weeks. Highs most days will be in the upper 20s and lower to middle 30s. A few upper 30s will be possible infrequently. Lowest morning temperatures will be in the upper teens and lower to a few middle 20s.