Frequent Rain Cerrado Mineiro, Sul de Minas Southward
Kansas City, January 26 (World Weather, Inc.) – Scattered showers and thunderstorms of varying intensity occurred in coffee production areas from Bahia through Minas Gerais to Parana during the weekend, but Espirito Santo, Zona de Mata and parts of Bahia were left unchanged from serious dryness. The greatest rainfall occurred in central Minas Gerais and in a part of Cerrado Mineiro southward into Sul de Minas. This week’s forecast perpetuates the greatest and most frequent rain from central Minas Gerais to Parana while northeastern areas stay in their drought.
BRAZIL
Scattered showers and thunderstorms spread across most of Minas Gerais Friday through Sunday. Rainfall was erratic with 1 to 9 millimeters in some northern Sul de Minas locations while Franca, Sao Paulo received 46 millimeters. The greatest rainfall occurred in central Minas Gerais – outside of most major coffee production areas – where 51 millimeters resulted. Rainfall in the majority of southern Sul de Minas ranged from 20 to 46 millimeters. Sao Paulo rainfall was not nearly as great and the same was true for Parana where 1 to 12 millimeters resulted. Espirito Santo, southeastern and a few central Bahia locations were left dry or mostly dry as may have been the case in a few Sao Paulo locations. Sul de Minas and Cerrado Mineiro were the areas that received the greatest rainfall.
High temperatures Friday through Sunday were in the upper 20s to lower 30s most often. However, middle and upper 30s continued in Zona de Mata, Rio de Janeiro and in northernmost Minas Gerais. An extreme high of 38 occurred in northeastern Minas Gerais. Lowest morning temperatures were mostly in the middle teens to lower 20s.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms spread across most of Minas Gerais Friday through Sunday. Rainfall was erratic with 1 to 9 millimeters in some northern Sul de Minas locations while Franca, Sao Paulo received 46 millimeters. The greatest rainfall occurred in central Minas Gerais – outside of most major coffee production areas – where 51 millimeters resulted. Rainfall in the majority of southern Sul de Minas ranged from 20 to 46 millimeters. Sao Paulo rainfall was not nearly as great and the same was true for Parana where 1 to 12 millimeters resulted. Espirito Santo, southeastern and a few central Bahia locations were left dry or mostly dry as may have been the case in a few Sao Paulo locations. Sul de Minas and Cerrado Mineiro were the areas that received the greatest rainfall.
High temperatures Friday through Sunday were in the upper 20s to lower 30s most often. However, middle and upper 30s continued in Zona de Mata, Rio de Janeiro and in northernmost Minas Gerais. An extreme high of 38 occurred in northeastern Minas Gerais. Lowest morning temperatures were mostly in the middle teens to lower 20s.
Rain is expected frequently from Cerrado Mineiro through Sul de Minas and Sao Paulo to Parana through Wednesday of this week before diminishing and receding southward Thursday and Friday. Daily rainfall of 10 to 30 millimeters is expected with local totals to 45. Coverage of rain will be close to 100% by the end of this week and some amounts will vary from 35 to 75 millimeters by Friday. Rainfall further north and east will not be nearly as great during the same few days. Rain totals in central and eastern Bahia, Espirito Santo and some Zona de Mata locations will vary from nothing to 15 millimeters with a rare amount as great as 30 millimeters possible in Zona de Mata. Net drying will continue along with unirrigated crop stress during the week in these drier biased areas.
The greatest precipitation will recede to the south late this week through Sunday with Parana and Sao Paulo getting most of the rain. A few showers will continue in southern Sul de Minas, but amounts will be down to less than 20 millimeters each day. Rainfall in Sao Paulo and Parana will vary from 15 to 35 millimeters most of those days with a few totals to more than 55. Dry or mostly dry conditions will occur further north.
The greatest precipitation will recede to the south late this week through Sunday with Parana and Sao Paulo getting most of the rain. A few showers will continue in southern Sul de Minas, but amounts will be down to less than 20 millimeters each day. Rainfall in Sao Paulo and Parana will vary from 15 to 35 millimeters most of those days with a few totals to more than 55. Dry or mostly dry conditions will occur further north.
Rainfall will drift a little north again next week. Monday through Thursday will present an improving opportunity for rain from Parana through Sul de Minas to Rio de Janeiro, Cerrado Mineiro and a few southern Zona de Mata locations. Daily rainfall of 13 to 25 millimeters and local totals to 45 will occur during that period of time.
Recent GFS computer model runs have insisted that rain will spread north into Bahia, northern Minas Gerais, Espirito Santo and northern Zona de Mata during the latter part of next week and into the following weekend. Confidence in the forecast is low and the situation will be closely monitored. Significant rain would be welcome in the far north after mostly dry conditions nearly all of this month, but World Weather, Inc. is not convinced that the rain event will occur as advertised.
Very little change in daily temperatures will occur through the next ten days. Highs in the upper 20s and lower to middle 30s will occur most often, but some upper 30s will be possible in rain-free areas infrequently. Lowest temperatures at night will be mostly in the middle teens to lower 20s.
