Martelo invertido
O mercado cafeeiro esta semana trabalhou ainda dentro da consolidação que fica entre 230,00 na mínima e 242,25 que era a máxima agora sendo a máxima em 244,50.
Apesar de o mercado ter feito um novo topo , logo apos fazê-lo o mercado recuou, mostrando cansaço e voltou a cair fechando a semana em 234,60.
A configuração da figura de japonese candlestick no gráfico semanal do café, também mostra que o mercado esta cansado de subir e sugere uma correção, que já tinha comentado sobre ela na semana passada, o rompimento da mínima da consolidação abre alvo para a correção com suportes técnicos em 225,00, 220,00 e 216,00 em um recuo em cima das medias e 61,8% de retração de Fibonacci.
No físico o começo do ano sempre começa lento, mas os cafés de qualidade continuam a ser disputado e os ágios são visto sendo pago a toda hora, café despolpado ficando na casa de 480,00 até 500,00 reais por saca de 60 kg e café natural de bebida fina ficando na casa de 380,00 a 450,00 por saca de 60 kg.
As chuvas que caem nas regiões cafeeiras trazem crescimento para lavoura enchimento de grãos, mas também trazem algumas doenças e dificuldades no campo para faze os tratos culturais, mas como nem tudo é perfeito tem que agradecer a nosso Pai eterno e esperar a hora de entrar no campo para fazer um trato melhor em nossas lavouras.
No campo da macro economia não existe novidades as crises continuam e não tem solução em curto prazo, o que nos resta fazer é ficar alertas para que não ser pegos de surpresa.
O cenário do café continua o mesmo também sem alteração, onde os estoques estão baixos para o consumo, fazendo com a indústria trabalhe da Mao pra boca, o clima o grande vilão da agricultura, continua atrapalhando os trabalhos de colheita dos países da America Central, onde podemos deduzir que novamente a safra deles será de baixa qualidade dando suporte à tendência de alta que deve durar ainda por muito tempo, e diminui o tamanho da correção esperada.
Vamos aguardar o movimento do mercado
Uma boa semana a todos
Wagner Pimentel
WWW.cafezinhocomamigos.blogspot.com
domingo, 16 de janeiro de 2011
Inverted Hammer
Inverted Hammer
The coffee market this week has also worked within the consolidation that is between 230.00 and 242.25 at least that was the maximum now being the highest at 244.50.
Although the market has made a new top, do it right after the market fell, showing fatigue and fell again by closing the week at 234.60.
The configuration of the figure of Japanese candlestick in the weekly chart of coffee, also shows that the market is tired of going up and suggests a correction, which had already commented on it last week, the disruption of consolidation of the minimum opening target for the fix brackets technicians at 225.00, 220.00 and 216.00 in a decline over the medium and 61.8% shrinkage of Fibonacci.
In the physical beginning of the year always starts slow, but quality coffees is still disputed and the premiums are being paid because all the time, getting washed coffee in the house of 480.00 to 500.00 dollars per bag of 60 kg and natural coffee drink in the house getting thin 380.00 to 450.00 per bag of 60 kg.
The rains that fall in the coffee regions bring growth to crop grain filling, but also bring some diseases and difficulties in the field to make the cultural practices, but not everything is perfect have to thank our eternal Father and wait to enter the field to make a better deal on our crops.
In the field of macro economy there is no news crises and still has no solution in the short term, what we can do is be alert not to be surprised.
The scenario remains the same coffee also unchanged, where inventories are low for consumption, making the industry work for Mao's mouth, the climate, the major killer of agriculture, continues to hamper the work of collection of Central American countries, where again we can deduce that the harvest will be poor quality of them supporting the bullish trend that should last for a long time, and decreases the size of the expected correction.
Let's wait for the market movement
A good week
Wagner Pimentel
WWW.cafezinhocomamigos.blogspot.com
The coffee market this week has also worked within the consolidation that is between 230.00 and 242.25 at least that was the maximum now being the highest at 244.50.
Although the market has made a new top, do it right after the market fell, showing fatigue and fell again by closing the week at 234.60.
The configuration of the figure of Japanese candlestick in the weekly chart of coffee, also shows that the market is tired of going up and suggests a correction, which had already commented on it last week, the disruption of consolidation of the minimum opening target for the fix brackets technicians at 225.00, 220.00 and 216.00 in a decline over the medium and 61.8% shrinkage of Fibonacci.
In the physical beginning of the year always starts slow, but quality coffees is still disputed and the premiums are being paid because all the time, getting washed coffee in the house of 480.00 to 500.00 dollars per bag of 60 kg and natural coffee drink in the house getting thin 380.00 to 450.00 per bag of 60 kg.
The rains that fall in the coffee regions bring growth to crop grain filling, but also bring some diseases and difficulties in the field to make the cultural practices, but not everything is perfect have to thank our eternal Father and wait to enter the field to make a better deal on our crops.
In the field of macro economy there is no news crises and still has no solution in the short term, what we can do is be alert not to be surprised.
The scenario remains the same coffee also unchanged, where inventories are low for consumption, making the industry work for Mao's mouth, the climate, the major killer of agriculture, continues to hamper the work of collection of Central American countries, where again we can deduce that the harvest will be poor quality of them supporting the bullish trend that should last for a long time, and decreases the size of the expected correction.
Let's wait for the market movement
A good week
Wagner Pimentel
WWW.cafezinhocomamigos.blogspot.com
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