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quinta-feira, 30 de outubro de 2014

Safra de café do Brasil em 2015 deve atingir até 47 mi sacas, prevê Rabobank

(Reportagem de Reese Ewing)

A safra de café do Brasil no ano que vem deverá atingir, na melhor das hipóteses, 47 milhões de sacas de 60 kg, estável ante o volume de 2014, previu um analista do Rabobank.
Rafael Barbosa, especialista de alimentos e agronegócio do banco, disse esperar o retorno das chuvas nas próximas semanas às regiões de café atingidas pela seca, o que provavelmente desencadeará o florescimento generalizado em todo o cinturão produtor para a temporada 2015.
Mesmo assim, ele não vê "muito espaço" para uma colheita muito maior no próximo ano, mesmo que as chuvas ocorram com regularidade a partir de agora pelo resto da temporada.
"Minha opinião é que estamos começando uma safra com potencial em 2015 para o mesmo tamanho da de 2014: 47 milhões de sacas", disse Barbosa.
"A partir de agora, até o início da colheita, o clima vai definir se é possível --ou não-- de se atingir esse potencial", afirmou.
Ele acrescentou que, se as chuvas não se concretizarem ou se houver mais problemas climáticos para o desenvolvimento da nova safra no maior produtor global, "poderíamos ver uma diminuição de oferta (em produção) no próximo ano e uma colheita consideravelmente menor".
Mas ele ressalvou que este não era o seu cenário básico.
"Eu assumo que as chuvas voltarão e que o tempo vai se desenvolver normalmente."
Segundo Barbosa, das 47 milhões de sacas colhidas na safra deste ano, os grãos arábica representaram 30 milhões de sacas e os de robusta, 17 milhões.
Na próxima semana, chuvas cobrem grande parte da área agrícola do Brasil, inclusive regiões de café, segundo a Somar Meteorologia.

Fonte: Reuters
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Early Ag Weather Watch - Oct 30
 

EARLY LOOK WEATHER REPORT
 
NATIONAL TEMPERATURE/RAINFALL EXTREMES:
HIGH WED...94 AT THERMAL CA
LOW  WED...11 AT HETTINGER ND
24 HOUR RAINFALL ENDING AT 06:00 PM CDT: CHARLESTON WV 0.96 INCH
 
US OUTLOOK AND MODEL DISCUSSION 6-10 DAY PERIOD:
 
The US and European models are in fair to good agreement during the first
few days of this period, although there is a slight difference as it concerns
timing of a trough that moves west to east across the northern US and Great
Lakes region during this period. The models are in fair agreement during the
last couple of days of the period. I am using a little more of today's European
model as it concerns the last part of the period.
Today's US model shows a strong short wave trough tracking from the northern
plains across the upper Midwest and Great Lakes region from Thursday to
Saturday of next week. If real this would likely mean somewhat colder weather
returning briefly at the end of the period. The European model is weaker with
this feature and would suggest no significant change in temperatures. Neither
model has much moisture associated with the trough in the US while the US model
has somewhat more precipitation moving across southern Canada.
 
MAJOR WORLD HIGHLIGHTS/IMPACT:
 
MATO GROSSO/GOIAS, BRAZIL (SOYBEANS): A somewhat drier period through Sunday
will favor planting in areas that received significant rains last week and have
adequate soil moisture. The next chance for scattered coverage rain appears to
be early next week.
 
SAO PAULO AND MINAS GERAIS BRAZIL (COFFEE, SUGARCANE): The region looks to be
somewhat drier and somewhat warmer during the next 4-5 days, although not
totally dry since there will be a few showers occurring at times. The period
Monday through Wednesday of next week looks to be more active. Increasing
showers should favor flowering coffee and developing sugarcane during that time
frame.
 
MIDWEST: Rain returns to the southern growing areas late in the 5 day and early
in the 6-10 period, leading to slow downs in the harvest of summer crops and
the planting of winter wheat. A more favorable pattern for field work elsewhere
in the region during this period.
 
DELTA: Improving conditions for summer crop harvests and winter wheat planting
during at least the next 5 days. Wet weather may redevelop after that leading
to field work delays.
 
NORTH PLAINS: Mostly favorable harvest weather during the next 7-10 days.
 
CENTRAL/SOUTH PLAINS: Mostly favorable conditions for the harvest of summer
crops and the planting of winter wheat during the next 4 days. Mostly favorable
conditions for developing winter wheat at this time. Rain in southern growing
areas after this period should help maintain/improve growing conditions.
 
SOUTH AFRICA (MAIZE/SUGARCANE): Hotter, drier weather continues for another 4
or 5 days. This likely means further planting delays for maize through north
and west areas. A strong trough moves in after that which has the potential to
bring widespread showers and thunderstorms to the region.
 
UKRAINE/WEST AND SOUTH RUSSIA: Drier weather and variable temperatures during
the next 5-7 days. This favors any late summer crop harvests and the final
planting effort for winter grains. Soil moisture should favor development of
winter grains in west and south areas but it may be too dry is some north and
east growing areas.
 
INDIA: Tropical cyclone 04a, with 50 knot winds, was located near 20.2n/64.3 at
0900 gmt Thursday or in the northern Arabian Sea about 294 miles east of
Masirah island. The system has been moving towards the northeast at 5 knots.
This system is now expected to weaken and dissipate over water before reaching
the coast of either southeast Pakistan or northwest Gujarat India.
 
EXPANDED SUMMARIES/FORECASTS:
 
Midwest corn, soybean and winter wheat
 
Summary...
 
WEST: Dry yesterday. A little drizzle has developed over western areas during
the night. Temperatures averaged near normal yesterday.
 
EAST: A little light rain in the northeast, drier elsewhere in the region.
Temperatures averaged near to slightly below normal.
 
Forecast...
 
WEST: Mostly dry today through Saturday. Temperatures average above normal
today, below or well below normal Friday and Saturday.
Mostly dry Sunday. Chance for rain or showers through northern Missouri and
southeast Iowa during Monday through early Tuesday. Drier elsewhere in the
region during this time. Mostly dry later Tuesday. Temperatures average near to
above normal.
 
EAST: A few light or very light showers may occur today or tonight, favoring
southern and eastern areas. Showers may linger in the east, drier west, during
Friday. Mostly dry Saturday. Temperatures average near normal today, below
normal tomorrow and Saturday.
Mostly dry Sunday. Chance for showers or rain through southern Illinois
across to the Ohio river valley during Monday or Tuesday. Only light showers
through northeast areas during this period, little through the northwest.
Temperatures average below normal Sunday, near to above normal Monday and
Tuesday.
 
6-10 Day Outlook: Temperatures are expected to average near to above normal
during this period. Rainfall near to above normal south, near to below normal
north.
 
North Plains (Spring Wheat, Corn, Soybeans)
 
Summary: Dry or with only a few very light showers through southwest North
Dakota during the past 24 hours. Temperatures averaged above normal through the
west, below normal central and east.
 
Forecast: Mostly dry today through early Saturday. Showers or light rain may
develop through the central Montana area later Saturday or during Saturday
night, continued dry elsewhere in the region during this time. Temperatures
average above normal in the west during this period. The eastern areas should
be colder today and Friday before warming to near normal during Saturday.
Chance for showers or scattered light precipitation during Sunday. Drier
Monday. Dry Tuesday. Temperatures average near to above normal during this
period.
 
6-10 Day Outlook...Temperatures are expected to average near to above normal
during this period, coolest northeast areas. Rainfall near to below normal.
 
Central/Southern Plains (Winter Wheat, Corn, Soybean, Sorghum)
 
Summary: Mostly dry during the past 24 hours. Temperatures averaged near to
above normal yesterday.

quinta-feira, 23 de outubro de 2014



Price hopes slow Brazilian growers' coffee sales

Coffee growers in Brazil are withholding crop sales in expectation of higher prices ahead, despite forecasts for rain for drought-hit plantations, expectations which sent futures tumbling again on Wednesday.

Producers in the Zona de Mata Mineira, in the south east of Minas Gerais, Brazil's top coffee growing state, and in Maogiana have sold less than 20% of this year's coffee harvest, according to research institute Cepea.

And while growers in some other regions have sold a far higher proportion, with farmers in north western Parana having priced 60% of their crop, this may be of a far smaller harvest.

Parana's coffee production, all of arabica beans, has fallen particularly heavily this year, hurt by frost last year as well as a lack of moisture, tumbling 69% to 510m bags, according to the official Conab crop bureau.

Zona de Mata output, for instance, fell by 36% to 3.02m bags.

'Major concerns'

The reluctance to sell, despite prices which this month hit a two-year high of 225.50 cents a pound for New York-traded arabica coffee futures, reflects expectations of further appreciation to come.

"Producers have been limiting sales of the 2014-15 crop, expecting a better market definition and higher prices," Cepea said, after a survey of growers.

"Many players are expecting price rises, based on the possible smaller production because of the dry weather."

Persistent dryness has provoked "major concerns" over blossoming, a stage which requires follow-up rains to ensure flowers set and form the cherries which will be harvested next year.

Even though rains are already returning to Brazil's coffee belt, and are expected to grow particularly next week, while the moisture "might help some crops to recover vitality, it is important to highlight that, in some coffee crops, losses are irreversible", said Cepea, whcih is attached to Sao Paulo University.

"Some producers in southern area in Minas Gerais already estimate a 30% loss in [2015] production."

Prices tumble

However, the comments came as expectations for Brazilian rains extended a correction in coffee futures, which closed down 4.3% at 191.10 cents a pound in New York for December delivery.

That is the weakest finish of the month, and down 15% from the early-month high.

The fall also took the contract back below its 50-day and 75-day moving averages - weak chart signals, although key technically to the contract's prospects is that its 200-day moving average, which it has not closed below since January, and an uptrend line hold in the 183-185 cents a pound area.

Meteorologists at Somar forecast that rains in Minas Gerais will reach 15mm-70mm (0.6-2.8 inches) by Sunday, with rainfall spreading more widely over coffee-growing regions from next week.

quarta-feira, 22 de outubro de 2014

Early Ag Weather Watch - Oct 22


EARLY LOOK WEATHER REPORT

NATIONAL TEMPERATURE/RAINFALL EXTREMES:
HIGH TUE...95 AT EL CENTRO NAS CA AND PALM SPRINGS CA AND BULLHEAD CITY AZ
LOW  TUE...22 AT MOUNT WASHINGTON NH
24 HOUR RAINFALL ENDING AT 06:00 PM CDT: W PALM BEACH FL  2.64  INCHES

US OUTLOOK AND MODEL DISCUSSION 6-10 DAY PERIOD:

The US and European models are not in very good agreement during the 6-10
day period today. I am using a little more of today's European model and my
ideas from yesterday. However, there is much uncertainty in the outlook today.
The models both show the first trough over the plains at day 6 moving east
and lifting north during the middle of the period. This is where the
similarities end. Today's US model shows another trough, much stronger than the
first, moving over the western US before crossing the Rockies and moving into
the plains later in the period. This model also hints at a significant northern
branch trough dropping southward over the Canadian Prairies before moving into
the north-central US and eventually merging with the first trough over the
plains. If real this would suggest a turn to colder weather through the middle
of the country and a turn to wet weather for the plains and Midwest regions.
This model also picks up on a low moving out of the Caribbean and into the Gulf
of Mexico during the outlook period, suggesting a potential tropical storm or
hurricane. The US model is showing a complex weather pattern for next week and
is unlikely to verify on all aspects of this pattern. However, it is difficult
to choose which aspect might verify or if any of the ideas of the model would
verify at all. The European model shows the western trough dropping southward
over the west coast states during the outlook period and remaining west of the
Rockies through day 10. The European model does not see the Caribbean system at
all and it is further north and more eastward moving with the Canadian trough
during the period. I would like to go with this model with no regrets, however
this is the same model that yesterday showed a cut off low moving over the
southern plains region during the outlook period.

MAJOR WORLD HIGHLIGHTS/IMPACT:

MATO GROSSO/GOIAS, BRAZIL (SOYBEANS): There appears to be some chance for
increasing shower activity for Mato Grosso and Goias at the end of this week
and also during the extended range outlook. However, it is still not clear
whether or not this means normal rains for the region. If the rainfall comes in
less than expected the temperatures would remain hot and planting delays will
continue.

SAO PAULO AND MINAS GERAIS BRAZIL (COFFEE, SUGARCANE): Sprinkles and light
showers early this week were not enough to ease stress to coffee trees that
should be flowering at this time of the year or to recently planted new crop
sugarcane. The next chance for scattered showers comes this weekend. This rain
chance may favor areas north and east of Sao Paulo and southwest Minas Gerais.
If verified this would imply a better chance for significant showers in major
coffee areas and a somewhat less chance in key sugarcane and citrus areas.

MIDWEST: Mostly favorable conditions for the delayed harvest of summer crops
and the planting effort for winter wheat during the next 5 days. After that
period the weather pattern is more uncertain in nature.

DELTA: Mainly dry weather is forecast to continue for at least the next 5 to 7
days, possibly longer. This should help improve conditions for mature crops and
the harvest as well as for planting winter wheat.

NORTH PLAINS: Mostly dry weather and warm temperatures during the next 5-7 days
will favor crop dry down and harvest progress.

CENTRAL/SOUTH PLAINS: Drier weather will improve field conditions for the
harvest of summer crops and the planting effort for winter wheat. Soil moisture
supplied by recent rains will favor development of earlier planted winter
wheat.

SOUTH AFRICA (MAIZE/SUGARCANE): Drier weather covers most north and west maize
areas during the next 7-10 days along with hotter temperatures. This likely
means delays to planting maize in these locations. The southeast maize and the
major sugarcane areas may see afternoon showers or thundershowers during this
period and less hot weather. This favors planting of maize and development of
sugarcane for these locations.

UKRAINE/WEST AND SOUTH RUSSIA: A cold high pressure system will move southward
to cover the Central Region, the Black Soils Region and the Volga valley of
Russia during the next 5 days. This may favor fall field work but it will also
slow development of winter wheat.

INDIA: Monsoon showers continue for the southern and west-central areas of the
south India region at this time. Little elsewhere in the region. Drier weather
favors maturing summer crops and any harvesting. However, dry weather may be
unfavorable for late filling summer crops and any early developing winter crops
at this time.

TROPICS: Tropical depression 9, with 35 mph winds, was located near 19.4n/92.3w
at 4 am CDT today or over the Bay of Campeche in the southwest Gulf of Mexico
and 120 miles west-southwest of Campeche, Mexico. The system has been moving
towards the east at 6 mph. It is expected to become a tropical storm today
before moving inland over the southwest Yucatan Peninsula tonight and Thursday.
The system should continue to weaken as it moves across the southern Yucatan
Peninsula Thursday and Thursday night. It emerges into the Caribbean Sea during
Friday and continues eastward from there.

EXPANDED SUMMARIES/FORECASTS:

Midwest corn, soybean and winter wheat

Summary...

WEST: Mostly dry during the past 24 hours. Temperatures averaged above to well
above normal yesterday.

EAST: Dry or with only a few very light showers through eastern areas during
the past 24 hours. Temperatures averaged near to above normal through western
areas, near to below normal east.

Forecast....

WEST: Scattered showers and thundershowers, 0.10-0.75 inch and locally heavier,
through western and central areas later today or during tonight. A few light
showers through eastern areas during Thursday. Mostly dry Friday. Temperatures
average above to well above normal during this period.
Mostly dry Saturday. Dry or with only a few showers or thundershowers in
northern areas Sunday. Scattered to widely scattered showers and thundershowers
are possible during Monday. Temperatures average above normal during this
period.

EAST: Dry today. Dry or with only a few light showers through western areas
Thursday. Dry Friday. Temperatures turn cooler today and Thursday, especially
through eastern areas. Warmer again during Friday.
Mostly dry Saturday. Dry or with only a few showers and thundershowers
developing in Wisconsin Sunday or Sunday night. Scattered showers and
thundershowers may reach western Illinois and western Wisconsin during Monday
or Monday night, continued mostly dry elsewhere in the region. Temperatures
average above to well above normal.

6-10 Day Outlook: Temperatures are expected to average near to above normal.
Rainfall near to below normal.

North Plains (Spring Wheat, Corn, Soybeans)

Summary: A few light showers west, fair central and east, during the past 24
hours. Temperatures averaged above to well above normal.

Forecast: A few light showers with locally heavier for the southeast portion of
the belt today, dry elsewhere in the region today. Mostly dry tomorrow and
Friday. Temperatures average well above normal during this period.
Mostly dry Saturday. Dry or with only a few light to locally moderate
showers, favoring the east and southeast areas, during Sunday or Monday.
Temperatures average above to near normal during this period.

6-10 Day Outlook...Temperatures are expected to average above to near normal.
Rainfall near to below normal.

Central/Southern Plains (Winter Wheat, Corn, Soybean, Sorghum)

Summary: Mostly dry during the past 24 hours. Temperatures averaged above
normal.

Forecast: A few light to locally moderate showers may occur today or tonight,
favoring central and northern areas. Drier during Thursday. Dry Friday.
Temperatures average well above normal.
Mostly dry Saturday and Sunday. Dry or with only a few light showers
developing Monday or Monday night. Temperatures average well above normal
during this period.

6-10 Day Outlook...Temperatures are expected to average above to near normal.
Rainfall near to below normal.

Mato Grosso/Goias, Brazil (Soybeans)

Summary: Mostly dry during the past 24 hours. Temperatures averaged above to
well above normal through north and east areas, cooler southwest. Highs
yesterday averaged 95-100F (35-38C) through Mato Grosso, 93-104F (34-40C)
through Goias and 85-90F (30-32C) through Mato Grosso Do Sul.

Forecast: Mostly dry today and Thursday. Chance for a few showers and
thundershowers developing Friday or Friday night, favoring western areas.
Temperatures average near to above normal today, above normal tomorrow and
Friday.
A few showers and thundershowers during Saturday. Scattered showers and
thundershowers north, drier south, during Sunday. Dry Monday. Temperatures near
to above normal.

6-10 Day Outlook...Temperatures are expected to average near to above normal
during the period Monday through next Friday. Rainfall is expected to average
near normal during this time.

Joel Burgio

segunda-feira, 20 de outubro de 2014

Commodities Market Impact Weather: Continued Drier Trend in Central U.S.

   OMAHA--Continued, mostly dry conditions in the central U.S., and scattered rainfall in central
Brazil are the primary weather items for the commodity trade's attention Monday.

FAVORABLE CENTRAL U.S. PATTERN

  The DTN ag weather forecast calls for continued mostly dry conditions in the central U.S. during
the next week to 10 days. This pattern will favor field and crop drying along with harvest progress
and winter-wheat planting in the Midwest and Delta, while maintaining favorable conditions for crop
activity in the Plains.

WEEKEND SHOWERS IN BRAZIL

  Central Brazil received some localized thundershowers during the weekend, which brought soil
moisture benefit along with some relief from recent extreme heat. This week's forecast suggests a
continued chance for showers in the region. Additional precipitation is needed for a restart to
soybean planting.

MINIMAL RAIN FOR BRAZIL COFFEE BELT

  Southeast Brazil has seen a few very light showers during the past 24 hours, which haven't been
enough to ease stress to flowering coffee trees or to recently planted new crop sugarcane. The next
chance for showers comes later this weekend or early next week. The rain amounts appear to be very
light and of little benefit. The 10-15-day time frame also points to more extensive showers, but
this is very uncertain.

WIDESPREAD SHOWERS IN BLACK SEA REGION

  In the Black Sea region, light to moderate showers with locally heavier amounts developed through
southwest, central and northeast Ukraine at the end of last week. A few showers also moved into the
Black Soils region of Russia. A second area of light to moderate rain also formed in Crimea and
North Caucasus Russia Friday-Saturday. Showers maintain more favorable growing conditions for winter
grains while causing minor and local delays to the harvest of summer crops.

MIXED RAIN FOR SOUTH AFRICA

  South Africa's eastern crop areas saw moderate to heavy rains during the past few days. The rain
favors early development of the new sugarcane crop but there may be some fieldwork delays. Showers
in eastern maize areas may encourage more planting. However, western areas are still too dry for
widespread planting to begin.

SOUTH INDIA RAINFALL

  Rains from the withdrawing monsoon are noted in south India through Sri Lanka. This will favor
late-developing summer crops and early growth of winter crops in these locations.

Early Ag Weather Watch - Oct 20


EARLY LOOK WEATHER REPORT

NATIONAL TEMPERATURE/RAINFALL EXTREMES:
HIGH SUN...97 AT HARLINGEN TX AND PALM SPRINGS CA
LOW  SUN...15 AT BODIE STATE PARK CA
24 HOUR RAINFALL ENDING AT 06:00 PM CDT: CARIBOU ME 0.45 INCH

US OUTLOOK AND MODEL DISCUSSION 6-10 DAY PERIOD:

The US and European models are in fair to good agreement during the outlook
period.
A short wave trough is shown moving from the Pacific Northwest across the
northern plains during the first 2 days of the outlook period. This trough then
moves through the Midwest region before lifting northward into southeast Canada
during the middle to late part of the period. Temperatures continue very warm
ahead of this trough and briefly cool to near or slightly below normal
following the trough. Rainfall associated with the passage of the trough looks
to favor the Midwest region with little expected either in the northern or the
southern plains. A fast west to east flow behind the passage of the trough
probably means the rainfall, even in the more favored Midwest region, should
not be that heavy. High latitude blocking remains weak and confined to the
Arctic circle and northern Greenland areas. The mean trough is over the eastern
Gulf of Alaska to far west Canada. The mean ridge is over the southeast and
middle Atlantic region of the U.S.

MAJOR WORLD HIGHLIGHTS/IMPACT:

MATO GROSSO/GOIAS, BRAZIL (SOYBEANS): Isolated weekend thundershowers provide
for some local relief to the recent extreme heat in the region but most have
missed this rain chance. The upper level ridge is still in the area which will
limit the chances for meaningful rainfall during the early and middle part of
this week. The longer range outlook suggests that the ridge may slide east and
then weaken somewhat during the coming weekend and early next week. This could
allow for a weak inflow of moisture off the Amazon and increase, somewhat, the
chance for showers.

SAO PAULO AND MINAS GERAIS BRAZIL (COFFEE, SUGARCANE): A few light or very
light showers yesterday and today are not enough to ease stress to coffee trees
that should be flowering at this time of the year or to recently planted new
crop sugarcane. The next chance for scattered showers comes later this weekend
or early next week. The early call on this rain chance is not very promising.
The extended range outlook for the end of the ten day period and for the 11 to
16 day period continue to show increasing shower activity but this is a very
long range outlook and is subject to significant day to day changes.

MIDWEST: Mostly favorable conditions for the delayed harvest of summer crops
and the planting effort for winter wheat during the next 5-7 days, at least.

DELTA: Mainly dry weather is forecast to continue for at least the next 5 to 7
days, possibly longer. This should help improve conditions for mature crops and
the harvest as well as for planting winter wheat.

NORTH PLAINS: Mostly dry weather and warm temperatures during the next 7-10
days will favor crop dry down and harvest progress.

CENTRAL/SOUTH PLAINS: Drier weather will improve field conditions for the
harvest of summer crops and the planting effort for winter wheat. Soil moisture
supplied by recent rains will favor development of earlier planted winter
wheat.

SOUTH AFRICA (MAIZE/SUGARCANE): A strong cold front and surface low moved
through at the end of last week. This lead to moderate and heavy rains through
most sugarcane areas and some moderate rains in the eastern and northern maize
areas. This was followed by cool dry weather early in the weekend period and
warm dry weather later in the weekend. The outlook for this week continues the
warmer, drier trend for most areas. Last weeks rain will favor early
development of the new sugarcane crop but there may be some field work delays.
Showers in the east maize areas may encourage more planting. However, western
areas are still too dry for widespread planting to begin.

UKRAINE/WEST AND SOUTH RUSSIA: Light to moderate showers with locally heavier
developed through southwest, central and northeast Ukraine at the end of last
week. A few showers also moved into the Black Soils region. A second area of
light to moderate rain also impacted Crimea and North Caucasus Russia
Friday-Saturday. Showers maintain more favorable growing conditions for winter
grains while causing minor and local delays to the harvest of summer crops.

INDIA: Monsoon rains continue to impact Tamil Nadu, Kerala, Sri Lanka and
southern most Andhra Pradesh and southern most Karnataka. This will favor late
developing summer crops and early growth of winter crops in these locations.

TROPICS: An area of low pressure in the southwest Gulf of Mexico is being
watched. There is a chance this could develop to a tropical depression during
the week. The early call would suggest a movement towards the Yucatan
Peninsula, western Cuba and then south Florida... should anything develop.

EXPANDED SUMMARIES/FORECASTS:

Midwest corn, soybean and winter wheat

Summary...

WEST: Mostly dry during the weekend period. Temperatures averaged near normal
Saturday, above normal Sunday.

EAST: Episodes of sprinkles and afternoon light showers, trace-0.25 inch and
locally heavier, mainly occurred from northeast Illinois and eastern Wisconsin
eastward and southward into central Indiana and southern Ohio. Temperatures
averaged near to below normal Saturday, near to above normal west and below
normal east Sunday.

Forecast....

WEST: Mostly dry today through early Wednesday. Scattered light showers with
locally heavier are expected in the west and north-central areas late Wednesday
or during Wednesday night. Temperatures average above normal during this
period.
Dry or with only a few light showers in the east Thursday. Dry Friday and
Saturday. Temperatures average above to well above normal.

EAST: Northeast and far east areas may see a few light or very light showers
later today or during tonight. Drier elsewhere in the region today. Mostly dry
tomorrow and Wednesday. Temperatures average above normal today, near to above
normal tomorrow and Wednesday... possibly a little below normal for eastern
areas during this time.
Dry or with only a few very light showers in northern areas during Thursday.