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sábado, 30 de agosto de 2014

Café: NY fecha agosto em alta com foco no clima das regiões produtoras 



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Nesta sexta-feira (29), a Bolsa de Nova York (ICE Futures US) para o café arábica encerrou suas operações com alta dando sequência aos ganhos do dia anterior. É o quarto dia consecutivo de alta e todos os contratos registraram ganhos acima dos 200 cents/lb. Apenas o contrato setembro/14, negociado até dia 18, encerrou a sessão com 195,75 cents/lb.
A posição dezembro/14 encerrou o dia com 201,20 cents de dólar por libra peso, o março/15 anotou 204,50 cents/lb, ambos com ganhos de 120 pontos. Os contratos com entregas mais distante também registraram alta, o maio/15 anotou 207,00 cents/lb e o julho/15 encerrou a sessão com 208,05 cents/lb, altas de 135 pontos nos dois contratos.

Segundo o analista de mercado do Escritório Carvalhaes, Eduardo Carvalhaes, o foco dos negócios continua sendo as condições climáticas não só no Brasil, mas em regiões de produção por todo o mundo e, principalmente as incertezas da safra 2015. “O tempo deve continuar seco e isso agrava a situação. As primeiras informações climáticas para setembro dão conta que a chuva deve ser abaixo da média e intermitente. E isso pode levar novos abortamentos e deixar o quadro mais grave, o que reflete alta na Bolsa de Nova York”, diz o analista.
Além disso, nesta quinta-feira (28), a região do Sul de Minas Gerais foi atingida por uma chuva de granizo de grandes proporções. Os municípios de Eloi Mendes e Varginha foram os mais atingidos.

De acordo com Carvalhaes, a região teve perdas localizadas, mas não representativas. “A chuva de granizo é mais uma perda pontual e que afeta os produtores por onde a chuva passou. Mas que não afeta a produção de café no Brasil como um todo”.

Segundo estimativa do Conselho Nacional do Café, a produção neste ano pode cair 18 por cento quando a colheita terminar no mês que vem, para 40,1 milhões de sacas, um declínio de 3,1 por cento no ano passado. Já a Associação Brasileira da Indústria de Café (ABIC) é mais animadora, segundo a associação a safra deve ficar em torno de 45 milhões e 47 milhões de sacas. No entanto, apenas quando a safra, que está sendo colhida terminar é que o setor terá números exatos para a quebra.

De acordo com dados da Bloomberg, se os números pessimistas se confirmarem, 2015 pode ser o terceiro ano consecutivo de queda de produção, o que seria o declínio mais longo desde 1965.
Na próxima segunda-feira 1º de setembro, a Bolsa de Nova York não trabalha em função do feriado do dia do trabalho.

 Mercado interno
As praças trabalharam no campo mista na saca de 60 kg, nesta sexta-feira (29). Em Poços de Caldas-MG houve queda de 1,09% no café tipo 6, bebida dura e a saca é vendida a R$ 455,00. Também houve queda de 2,17%, em Patrocínio-MG com R$ 450,00, o município de Guaxupé-MG o preço permaneceu estável em R$ 469,00 a saca de 60 kg.
Fonte: Notícias Agrícolas // Jhonatas Simião

sexta-feira, 29 de agosto de 2014

Olam in Talks to Sell Asset Stakes After Missing Cash Flow Goal
2014-08-29 07:36:43.725 GMT
Yuriy Humber

Aug. 29 (Bloomberg)  - Olam International Ltd. is in talks
to sell more assets and will shift focus to beefing up profit
margins over sales volumes in a drive to free up cash, said the
Singapore-based food commodities trader.
The company, controlled by state investment arm Temasek
Holdings Pte., missed its target to generate more cash than it
spent in the fiscal year ended June 30, Chief Executive Officer
Sunny Verghese said today. Olam is in talks to sell stakes in
assets, including a fertilizer project in Gabon, he said.
“Watch this space” for more divestments and partnerships,
Verghese said at a briefing in Singapore. “We are not focused
on growing volumes any more, but rather on growing our profit
pool.” Olam’s net income plunged 44 percent to S$31.8 million
($25 million) last quarter, compared with S$56.8 million a year
earlier, it said today in a statement.
Olam’s earnings were “disappointing” and the shift in
strategy to profit margin over volume has yet to yield results,
said Ephrem Ravi, an analyst with Barclays Plc in a report
today. The margins for food businesses were down 60 percent on
the previous three months, even as they rose on a year-earlier
basis, Ravi said.
“The September quarter is even weaker from a seasonality
perspective; hence the incremental datapoints for the stock are
unlikely to improve in the near term,” Ravi said.

Seeking Investors

One of the world’s top three coffee and rice traders, Olam
is seeking investors, such as Mitsubishi Corp., as a rise in
global food demand adds to the attraction of agriculture. A lack
of cash flow was one of the issues raised in a 2012 report by
short-seller Muddy Waters LLC, which caused Olam’s stock to
plummet.
Mitsubishi said in June it will buy a controlling stake in
Olam’s Australian grain unit, while the Tokyo-based trading
house’s Sanyo Foods Co. agreed this month to purchase 25 percent
of Olam’s packaged food division.
Olam lost Tata Chemicals Ltd. as a partner in Gabon after
the Indian company announced it would not proceed with buying a
25.1 percent stake in the ammonia-urea fertilizer project, the
Singapore trader said in March. Talks with a couple of companies
that could replace Tata are ongoing, Verghese said. He declined
to name them.
Olam’s revenue slipped 11.4 percent to S$5.76 billion in
the three months ended June 30, while the volume of sold
commodities declined 18.6 percent to 3.5 million metric tons.
This and one-time charges from “impairment” at a cashew
facility in Nigeria, the sale of a Gabon timber unit, and the
early repayment of high-interest loans were factors in the poor
profit performance.
Operating profit after tax and minority interest rose 1.5
percent to S$48.5 million.

--With assistance from Chanyaporn Chanjaroen in Singapore.

To contact the reporter on this story:
Yuriy Humber in Tokyo at +81-3-3201-3521 or
yhumber@bloomberg.net
To contact the editors responsible for this story:
Jason Rogers at +81-3-3201-8479 or
jrogers73@bloomberg.net
Peter Langan
http://www.somarmeteorologia.com.br/public/imagens/geada/mosaico.png

clima

Sumário :
A frente fria avança pela costa do Espírito Santo e ainda gera muitas nuvens na parte leste de Minas Gerais, área que inclui a região da zona da Mata. Nessa faixa, ainda podemos ter algumas chuvas fracas hoje. No fim de semana, o tempo abre no sábado, mas no domingo novas áreas de instabilidade chegam ao sul do Brasil e voltam a trazer chuva para a parte sul do cinturão produtor de café, que se espalham pelo Sudeste na segunda-feira. Chamamos a atenção a partir de agora para a variação nas previsões de chuva. Em períodos de transição, é comum muita oscilação nas previsões de distribuição e volume, pois os modelos atmosféricos estão saindo de uma condição seca (inverno), e ajustando-se para uma condição de chuva (verão). É o período de menor previsibilidade, quando devemos desconsiderar previsões muito longas, pois são as que mais variam. 

http://www.benzinga.com/markets/commodities/14/08/4812247/global-demand-for-coffee-expected-to-hit-record-highs-will-prices-

Global Demand For Coffee Expected To Hit Record Highs: Will Prices At Starbucks Rise?

August 28, 2014 3:45 PM

Coffee prices are now pushing $2 a pound.
Starbucks (NASDAQ: SBUX) has more exposure to milk prices than coffee, so that morning latte won’t be getting more expensive. However, that doesn’t make coffee’s 70 percent YTD gains any less impressive.
In fact, considering the fundamentals, this rally could just be getting started. At this point, many agriculture analysts conclude that prices have peaked, but there is still big money potential for those owning coffee. The coffee market will likely finish 2014 with its first supply deficit in three years, and it could stay there through 2017.
Brazil, which produces one third of the world’s coffee supply, has been hampered all year by extreme drought. The Brazilian government estimates its coffee crop will decline 10 percent Y/Y in 2014; an extremely optimistic forecast.
The lack of rain in Brazil has been so severe that tree roots have now separated from the soil and won’t absorb moisture properly even when rains return. The damage done over the past nine months will likely have supply repercussions at least through 2017.
At the same time, Central America, which produces 10 percent of global supply, is battling a devastating “coffee rust” fungus that has caused more than $1 billion in damages already. These supply issues are occurring while demand surges. According to the US Department of Agriculture, global demand for coffee is expected to hit a record this year.
On top of that, the International Coffee Organization sees consumption in Brazil, Vietnam and Columbia, which produce 60 percent of global supply, growing at double the rate of coffee importers. This development will restrict the available exports and likely be a major boon for prices. Conveniently for those looking to make money, owning coffee is not a crowded trade!
The Daily Sentiment Index shows coffee at a pedestrian 38 (0 = max bearish, 100 = max bullish). Typically, a rally in commodities doesn’t stop until sentiment reaches 80 or higher. Speculative CFTC long positions in coffee have been moving higher, but futures are difficult to hold for the long haul. Instead, the iPath DJ-UBS Coffee ETF (NYSE: JO) offers un-leveraged exposure to coffee with minimal fees.
iPath DJ-UBS Coffee ETF (NYSE: JO)
cup_n_handle_jo_chart_8-28.png
Prior to this year’s explosion to the upside, coffee had been stuck in a three year bear market. Under a scenario where growing conditions decline for the next three years, it will take much higher prices before record breaking demand is curbed.
With a long-term perspective over the next several years, it’s reasonable to believe that coffee prices could double from here.

Brazil's coffee farmers balk at investing in crops even as prices rally
Reuters - Reese Ewing  -  SAO PAULO  Thu Aug 28, 2014 3:24pm EDT


Three years ago, a record surge in arabica prices spurred a wave of investment across coffee plantations in top grower Brazil, as farmers scrambled to fill a supply gap left by Central America after heavy rains damaged crops.

The following year, in 2012, Brazil's output rose by 19 percent, hitting a record 38 million bags.

But a surge in prices this year is not having a similar effect. While benchmark bean prices have rallied more than 90 percent from the seven-year lows hit last November, they remain at least 20 percent below where farmers say would consider plowing more money into fertilizer or expanding acreage.

A Reuters survey of nine cooperatives and producers in Minas Gerais, Sao Paulo and Parana states found that farmers in Brazil's southeast, the region worst hit by a drought that ranks as the worst in five decades and which has caused the run-up in prices, have no plans to invest more than usual this year to boost output.

The drought, which peaked in the crucial January through March period and robbed farmers of as much as 30 percent of their crop, has weakened appetite to invest, especially with the debts that farmers already are carrying after painfully low prices in 2013.

"You're not going to see a lot of enthusiasm to invest after the drought. There are 30 types of businesses with better returns than coffee right now," producer Luis Hafers said. "For now, my investments are on hold."

Without investment in crop nutrients over the next few months, it could take years for the country's coffee trees to recover, potentially hurting global supplies of arabica.

The official estimate from the Agriculture Ministry in May put Brazil's arabica harvest, which was ravaged by the drought, at 32 million bags, down 16 percent from last year. Many fear output in 2015 may be even lower.


ROILED BY ROYA, BULKING AT FERTILIZER

A devastating leaf rust in Central American and war and logistical challenges in Africa will make it harder for other producers of quality arabicas to fill the vacuum that will be left by Brazil in the coming years.

"We're getting 400 reais a bag ($1.33/lb) for good cup arabica, but we need to see 500 reais to consider planting more or additional fertilizer," said Walter Dutra, co-owner of a 300-hectare farm in Minas Gerais, Brazil's main coffee state.

Most of the representatives of Brazil's coffee industry who spoke with Reuters said they need to see prices to rise by a quarter before they would consider new investment.

Futures prices for arabicas have rallied almost 30 percent since mid-July, hitting $2.00 per lb this week, but they are still 8 percent from April highs of $2.15/lb and down more than a third from 2011 highs above $3.

"Producers are making money finally, but not enough," Anderson Oliveira de Souza, manager at the Cocatrel cooperative said. In 2011/12, Cocatrel sold 40,000 tonnes of fertilizer to coffee producers on the farms in the Tres Pontas area of Minas Gerais, but in the last two years it sold only 26,000 tonnes.

"We'll be lucky to sell that this year because producers' debts are restricting their access to credit," Souza said.

Application of nitrogen, phosphorus and potassium will start in September and continue through April, but the effects will not be seen until the 2016 harvest.

Over the first half of 2014, fertilizer sales to the coffee sector have been up 1.2 percent, according to Brazil's largest coffee cooperative, Cooxupe, in southern Minas Gerais, the state that produces half the country's coffee.

"After selling coffee at below cost in 2013, we lacked capital, so we cut back on fertilizer," said Marco Antonio Jacob, producer in Sao Paulo state.

"Now, the drought took 30 to 40 percent of our crop, so again, where are we supposed to get this money to invest?"

quinta-feira, 28 de agosto de 2014

Coffee Weather Woes Spread to Central America -- WSJ Blog
Leslie Josephs

Weather woes are mounting for coffee growers and coffee lovers.
  Drought has taken hold in Central America, adding to worries over a drop in global production that
has already driven up prices for consumers.
  The most-actively traded arabica-coffee futures contract rose above $2 a pound on Wednesday, as
coffee production in the region appeared poised for another drop.
  While Central America produces about 10% of the world's coffee, growers there are already battling
a fungus that has reduced output. Meanwhile, the world's top coffee grower, Brazil, was hit with its
own crop-damaging drought.
  "The cherries are not filling up because of the lack of rain," said Nils Leporowski, president of
the Guatemalan Coffee Association, known as Anacafe, following a visit to coffee farms in the
country. The Guatemalan government declared a state of emergency in 16 of the country's 22 provinces
earlier this week as a result of the drought.
  A lack of water stunts the development of coffee cherries, which contain the seeds that are
roasted and ground to make coffee beverages. Often following a drought, the cherries will appear
healthy, turning a deep red color, but contain no seeds.
  The next harvest starts in October, and moisture during the traditionally rainy months in Central
America is key to the crop's maturation process.
  Exports of arabica beans from Latin America, excluding Brazil, are down 3.2% since this season
began last year, according to Anacafe, with double-digit drops in Guatemala, El Salvador, Nicaragua
and Mexico.
  The dry weather could push prices even higher, analysts say. Guatemala "could be just like
Brazil," said Jack Scoville, a vice president at Chicago brokerage Price Futures Group, adding that
prices could reach $2.20 a pound in the coming weeks. "The potential for lower crops this year and
next are decent."
Arabica-coffee prices are up more than 80% this year, a rally ignited by Brazil's drought.
  Growers in Brazil, the source of one-third of the world's coffee supply, will harvest between 5%
and 10% less coffee this year, according to trade groups and exporters.
  That will likely tip the world into its first supply deficit in three years in the 2014-15 season,
which starts in October, according to the International Coffee Organization.

quarta-feira, 27 de agosto de 2014

World Coffee Weather
Brazil Slightly Cooler, Restricted Rainfall Into Weekend

By Andy Karst

           Kansas City, August 27 (World Weather, Inc.) – Some cooling was noted in Parana and southernmost Sao Paulo, Brazil Tuesday and the cooler air will advance northward during the balance of this week. Very little rain of significance will accompany the cooling trend, but there will be some precipitation mostly near the coast. Espirito Santo, Rio de Janeiro, Zona de Mata and eastern Bahia will be most vulnerable to showers Friday and Saturday with today and Thursday’s precipitation a little further south. Most interior coffee areas will not be impacted by much meaningful rain. Showers will return in southern crop areas next week and they may be more significant in the middle and latter part of the week, but not likely great enough for flowering.  A tropical disturbance located east of the Greater Antilles will move across the Caribbean Sea during the next several days and should not have much of an impact on coffee in the Greater Antilles other than a brief increase in shower and thunderstorm activity.  Another round of rain occurred in the Central Highlands of Vietnam Tuesday and conditions for coffee should continue to improve as additional rain is expected during the next week.  Beneficial rain fell on nearly all of Ivory Coast and Ghana Tuesday.


BRAZIL
            Mostly dry weather occurred in Brazil coffee areas Tuesday. The only rain noted was at the port city of Sao Paulo where 2 millimeters and east-central Bahia resulted. High temperatures Tuesday were in the middle and upper 20s Celsius in Parana and southwestern Sao Paulo and in the upper 20s to lower 30s in most other areas. Extreme highs of 34 to 36 occurred from northern Minas Gerais to central Bahia.  Lows this morning were 10 to 17 most often with readings of 18 to 22 in some northern and eastern areas. 
            Today’s forecast has not changed much from that of Tuesday. Totally dry weather is not likely through the weekend, but the few showers that occur periodically are most likely near the Atlantic coast and will generate 1 to 8 millimeters of rain most often with an infrequent occurrence of amounts to 15 millimeters. Friday and Saturday may be wettest from Espirito Santo to eastern Bahia. Most interior coffee areas will not be impacted by meaningful rain prior to next week.
            A more unstable atmosphere may evolve in southern Brazil coffee areas next week. Showers will begin in Parana and coastal Sao Paulo Monday and increase September 2-6 while spreading northeast to Rio de Janeiro.  A few showers may reach into Zona de Mata and Espirito Santo. Most of the daily rainfall will continue light varying from 3 to 10 millimeters with a rare occurrence of 15-20 millimeters. Most of the advertised rainfall is not expected to be great enough to change crop or soil conditions, but there will be more showers during that period of time than during any day this week.
                        Some additional cooling is expected today into the coming weekend in southern coffee production areas. The cooling trend will lower daily high temperatures to the lower and middle 20s south while staying mostly in the middle and upper 20s to lower 30s in the north. Lowest morning temperatures will be in the range of 8 to 15 in the south and 10 to 18 with a few readings over 20 in the north. In contrast, today will generate many highs in the upper 20s through the middle 30s with extreme highs of 35-37 in northern Minas Gerais and central Bahia.
Arabica-Coffee Futures Climb Above $2/lb
Leslie Josephs

  NEW YORK--Arabica-coffee futures rose above $2 a pound Wednesday as dry weather from Brazil to
Guatemala fed concerns over the world's supply of coffee.
  Arabica for December delivery on the ICE Futures U.S. exchange was up 2.1% at $2.0150 a pound, the
highest since Aug. 1.
  On Tuesday, the government of Guatemala, Central America's second-largest coffee grower after
Honduras, declared a state of emergency because of extreme drought.
  It is the latest threat to coffee production, which was already hit this year by a severe drought
in top grower Brazil. Industry groups and exporters have lowered their estimates for output this
year, which has sent prices to two-year highs, prompting roasters such as Folgers maker J.M. Smucker
Co. and Starbucks Corp. to raise prices. Arabica-coffee futures are up 81% this year.
  Guatemala "could be just like Brazil," said Jack Scoville, a vice president at Chicago brokerage
Price Futures Group. "The potential for lower crops this year and next are decent."
  Brazil's weather continues to fuel worries over coffee supplies. Early rains there followed by
current dry weather could cause coffee trees to abort flowers that opened early, said Rodrigo Costa,
coffee director at brokerage Newedge.
  That process would prevent coffee cherries, which contain the seeds that are roasted and ground to
make coffee beverages, from developing.
  In other markets, raw sugar for October delivery was up 1.1% at 15.88 cents a pound, following an
estimate showing the world's sugar surplus slipping next year.
  Global sugar production is likely to outpace demand by 1.3 million metric tons by Sept. 30, 2015,
the London-based said Tuesday. While that would be the fifth consecutive surplus, it is about a
quarter of the surplus the ISO has forecast for the current year.
  November orange-juice concentrate was up 0.2% at $1.5195 a pound, while December cocoa was 0.5%
lower at $3,199 a ton. December cotton was 0.1% lower at 66.83 cents a pound.

Produção de café do Brasil terá maior queda desde 1965
A produção do Brasil, maior produtor do mundo, pode cair 18 por cento quando a colheita terminar no mês que vem
Bloomberg  
A seca prolongada no Brasil já custou metade da colheita do café de José Francisco Pereira. No ano que vem pode ser ainda pior e o país está a caminho da primeira queda de três anos na produção desde 1965.
"Todos estão rezando pela chuva", disse Pereira, diretor-geral da Monte Alegre Coffees, uma produtora dona de 2.500 hectares com sede em Alfenas, Minas Gerais, que previu uma colheita de 45.000 sacas nesta safra, abaixo das 82.000 da temporada passada.
A produção do Brasil, maior produtor do mundo, pode cair 18 por cento quando a colheita terminar no mês que vem, para 40,1 milhões de sacas, estima o Conselho Nacional do Café, após um declínio de 3,1 por cento no ano passado. Com a piora dos danos antes do início da primavera no Hemisfério Sul, o conselho disse que os agricultores poderão colher menos de 40 milhões de sacas em 2015, criando a queda mais longa em três décadas.
O Citigroup Inc. previu em 21 de agosto que o déficit global na produção pode durar até 2016 por causa da escassez no Brasil, que no ano passado respondeu por 36 por cento da oferta mundial.
Os contratos futuros, que se valorizaram mais que os de qualquer outra commodity neste ano, podem subir mais 19 por cento até o fim de dezembro, para US$ 2,25 a libra-peso (454 gramas), mostrou uma consulta da Bloomberg a 18 analistas. O incremento está forçando compradores como a J.M. Smucker Co., produtora da Folgers, a marca mais vendida dos EUA, a elevar os preços no varejo.
"O mercado está vulnerável ao incremento devido a todos os problemas no Brasil", disse ontem Donald Selkin, que ajuda a gerenciar US$ 3 bilhões como estrategista-chefe de mercado da National Securities Corp. em Nova York. "As pessoas estão prevendo ofertas mais apertadas e esperando evoluções climáticas mais drásticas".
Commodity sobe
O café arábica subiu 71 por cento neste ano, para US$ 1,892, na ICE Futures U.S., o maior ganho entre 22 matérias-primas no índice Bloomberg Commodity, que caiu 0,1 por cento. O índice de ações MSCI All-Country World subiu 5,4 por cento no mesmo período. O índice Bloomberg Treasury Bond teve um incremento de 4,1 por cento.
O Brasil está enfrentando sua pior seca em décadas. Os reservatórios das regiões Sudeste e Centro-Oeste, onde está a maioria das plantações de café do país, estavam em menos de 32 por cento de sua capacidade em 24 de agosto, contra a média de 59,3 por cento em agosto nos 13 anos anteriores, segundo a Operadora Nacional do Sistema Elétrico, a ONS. O Brasil gera cerca de 70 por cento de sua energia com usinas hidrelétricas.
Agravando os danos à colheita deste ano, em julho chuvas torrenciais inesperadas levaram ao florescimento prematuro de árvores cujos frutos já haviam sido colhidos. Quando o clima seco retornou neste mês, as flores murcharam e caíram, prejudicando ainda mais o rendimento potencial para 2015.
Demanda crescente
A colheita menor do Brasil e o consumo crescente redundarão em um déficit da produção global de até 10 milhões de sacas no ano que começa em 1º de outubro, disse a Organização Internacional do Café, em Londres, em 1º de agosto. A Volcafé Ltd., operadora de commodities da ED&F Man Holdings Ltd., estimou o déficit em 11,3 milhões de sacas. Cerca de 58 por cento da produção mundial é de café arábica, o grão preferido pela Starbucks, enquanto o restante é da variedade robusta, usada em café instantâneos e nos blends.
Muito do dano para a colheita da próxima safra pode já ter sido feito no Brasil.
"O crescimento foi muito lento", disse Alemar Braga Rena, pesquisador independente e professor de Agronomia aposentado da Universidade Federal de Viçosa, em Minas Gerais. "As raízes são o cérebro da planta e elas foram prejudicadas pelo calor e pela falta de água, o que as tornou incapazes de absorver nutrientes".

terça-feira, 26 de agosto de 2014

Arabica Coffee, Orange Juice, Sugar Rise on Supply Worries
Alexandra Wexler

  NEW YORK-Arabica-coffee prices surged to a more than three-month high on Tuesday as investors
worried about the harvest in top grower and exporter Brazil.
  The source of more than half of the world's arabica coffee experienced its worst drought in
decades this year, which has reduced the size of the current harvest and damaged trees.
  Weather in Brazil's arabica-growing regions has been less than favorable, WeatherBELL Analytics
said in a note. "Given the forecast over the next 30 days, there is an enhanced risk of flowers
aborting in the arabica areas," the meteorological consulting firm said.
  A weak flowering would mean a smaller amount of coffee beans would be produced during the 2015
season.
  Arabica coffee for delivery in December on the ICE Futures U.S. exchange ended 5.2% higher at
$1.9745 a pound, the highest level since May 7 and the biggest one-day gain since July 31.
  Brazil's National Coffee Council expects the 2014 and 2015 coffee harvests to produce about 40
million bags of coffee each. Its forecast for the current year is about 20% smaller than its
original estimate because of the drought. Each bag weighs 132 pounds.
  "If one is worried about supply tightness, it would make sense to get in," said Rodrigo Costa,
coffee director at brokerage Newedge in New York.
   Global coffee production could fall short of demand next season by the largest amount in almost a
decade due to smaller harvests in Brazil, the International Coffee Organization said last month.
  Orange-juice futures also jumped Tuesday as the churning of Hurricane Cristobal off the coast of
top orange-producing state Florida served as a reminder to investors that the Atlantic hurricane
season is far from over.
  "It's an awakening to the market," said Boyd Cruel, senior analyst at Vision Financial Markets in
Chicago.
  Orange juice for November delivery settled up 4.9% at $1.5160 a pound, the biggest one-day jump
since Nov. 8, 2013, and the highest close since July 23.
  The June-November Atlantic hurricane season could bring potentially damaging storms to Florida,
where the coming crop is already expected to be the smallest since the mid-1960s. Previous
hurricanes have damaged groves and ripped unripe fruit from the trees. Orange-juice prices usually
rise when a storm targets the state.
  Raw-sugar futures got a boost after Brazilian sugar-cane industry group Unica lowered its forecast
for the  center-south region's cane harvest to 545.9 million metric tons, down 5.9% from an earlier
estimate. Raw sugar for delivery in October ended up 2.3% at 15.71 cents a pound, the largest
one-day gain since June 20.
  However, sugar output in top producer Brazil's main growing region is still up 6.4% during the
season through the first half of August, and the global sugar market is likely to register a supply
surplus of 1.31 million metric tons for the season, according to the latest outlook from the
London-based International Sugar Organization. "Any possible price recovery brought by production
shocks over the course of 2014-15 might be muted by the huge stocks accumulated since the beginning
of the surplus phase in 2010-11," the ISO said.
  In other markets, December-delivery cotton ended up 1.1% at 66.89 cents a pound and cocoa for
December delivery ended down 0.1% at $3,216 a ton.
Brazil's Unica Cuts Center-South Sugarcane Crush Estimate Because of Drought
Jeffrey Lewis

  SAO PAULO--The worst drought in decades in Brazil's center-south region will cut the area's
sugarcane crop by 8.6% in the current growing season compared with a year earlier, sugar-industry
group Unica said Tuesday.
  The region, which produces about 90% of Brazil's cane, will produce 545.9 million metric tons of
the crop in the current 2014-2015 season, compared with 597.1 million tons in the 2013-2014 season.
Unica and Brazil's Cane Technology Center had earlier forecast a crop of 580 million tons for
2014-2015.
  Brazil is the world's biggest sugar producer and exporter, and the decline in output of the
sweetener has boosted prices on world markets.
  In the early part of the harvesting season, the drier-than-normal weather made it easier for farm
equipment to enter fields and helped accelerate the harvest and boost sugar and ethanol output above
normal levels.
  With much of the crop now harvested, mills are starting to crush less than they did a year earlier
and the season is expected to finish earlier than normal.
  "Traditional cane regions have been severely affected by the drought, and that should lead to an
earlier end to the  harvest and impede the harvest in areas where the plants didn't develop enough
to be cut," explained Unica's technical director, Antonio de Padua Rodrigues.
  Mills in the center-south region crushed 44.9 million tons of cane in the first half of August, a
decline of 3.4% from the same period a year earlier. Sugar output fell 4.3% in the first half of the
month from a year earlier, to 2.8 million tons, while ethanol production rose 4.4% in the same
period to 2.04 billion liters.
  The production mix of sugar and ethanol in the first half of the month was 45.7% sugar and 54.3%
ethanol, compared with 47.9% sugar and 52.1% ethanol a year earlier.
  Mills in the center-south crushed 325.3 million tons in the cane-growing season through Aug. 15,
an increase of 2.8% from the same period a year earlier. Sugar output rose 6.4% in the period to
17.9 million tons and ethanol production rose 4.5% to 13.9 billion liters.
  The production mix for the season through Aug. 15 was 44.2% sugar and 55.8% ethanol, compared with
43.7% sugar and 56.3% ethanol a year earlier.

 A rede de fast food Burger King anunciou nesta
terça-feira (26) a fusão com a companhia canadense de cafés, Tim Horton,
segundo o jornal "Wall Street Journal".
Com a aquisição, as duas companhias passam a formar a terceira maior cadeia de
fast food do mundo, com 18 mil lojas em mais de cem países.
O Burger King é controlado pelo fundo 3G, dos brasileiros Jorge Paulo Lemann,
Beto Sicupira e Marcel Telles, que já haviam se unido para a compra da Heinz,
em outubro de 2013.
A operação foi realizada com ajuda do megainvestidor Warren Buffett, que
financiou parte do negócio por meio da sua holding, o Berkshire Hathaway, O
empresário financiará 25% da compra, estimada em US$ 10 bilhões, em troca de
ações preferenciais, que têm maior liquidez e não dão direito ao voto nas
assembleias de acionistas.
De acordo com a publicação, a fusão do Burger King tem como principal objetivo
a redução de impostos. Com o acordo com a Tim Horton, a rede de lanchonetes
terá sinal verde para criar uma holding com sede no Canadá, onde a tributação é
menor.
A tendência já foi criticada pelo presidente Barack Obama e por assessores da
Casa Branca, que prometeram medidas do governo para reduzir a prática, que
afeta os cofres americanos.
Desde 1998, cerca de 40 companhias de diferentes setores fizeram aquisições
planejadas, mudando a sede das empresas para obter vantagens tributárias.
Dados da consultoria e auditoria KPMG mostram que o imposto sobre as empresas
canadenses é de 26,5%, enquanto nos EUA é de 40%.
Segundo o "Wall Street Journal", o presidente executivo do Burger King, Alex
Behring, irá liderar a nova companhia de atuação global, acumulando este cargo
e a função de diretor. Marc Caira, presidente do Tim Horton, será indicado à
vice-presidência e à diretoria da nova empresa.
Já Daniel Schwartz, CEO do Burger King, irá comandar a companhia resultante da
fusão neste mesmo cargo.