World Coffee Weather

Brazil Slightly Cooler, Restricted Rainfall Into Weekend

By Andy Karst

           Kansas City, August 27 (World Weather, Inc.) – Some cooling was noted in Parana and southernmost Sao Paulo, Brazil Tuesday and the cooler air will advance northward during the balance of this week. Very little rain of significance will accompany the cooling trend, but there will be some precipitation mostly near the coast. Espirito Santo, Rio de Janeiro, Zona de Mata and eastern Bahia will be most vulnerable to showers Friday and Saturday with today and Thursday’s precipitation a little further south. Most interior coffee areas will not be impacted by much meaningful rain. Showers will return in southern crop areas next week and they may be more significant in the middle and latter part of the week, but not likely great enough for flowering.  A tropical disturbance located east of the Greater Antilles will move across the Caribbean Sea during the next several days and should not have much of an impact on coffee in the Greater Antilles other than a brief increase in shower and thunderstorm activity.  Another round of rain occurred in the Central Highlands of Vietnam Tuesday and conditions for coffee should continue to improve as additional rain is expected during the next week.  Beneficial rain fell on nearly all of Ivory Coast and Ghana Tuesday.

BRAZIL

            Mostly dry weather occurred in Brazil coffee areas Tuesday. The only rain noted was at the port city of Sao Paulo where 2 millimeters and east-central Bahia resulted. High temperatures Tuesday were in the middle and upper 20s Celsius in Parana and southwestern Sao Paulo and in the upper 20s to lower 30s in most other areas. Extreme highs of 34 to 36 occurred from northern Minas Gerais to central Bahia.  Lows this morning were 10 to 17 most often with readings of 18 to 22 in some northern and eastern areas. 

            Today’s forecast has not changed much from that of Tuesday. Totally dry weather is not likely through the weekend, but the few showers that occur periodically are most likely near the Atlantic coast and will generate 1 to 8 millimeters of rain most often with an infrequent occurrence of amounts to 15 millimeters. Friday and Saturday may be wettest from Espirito Santo to eastern Bahia. Most interior coffee areas will not be impacted by meaningful rain prior to next week.

            A more unstable atmosphere may evolve in southern Brazil coffee areas next week. Showers will begin in Parana and coastal Sao Paulo Monday and increase September 2-6 while spreading northeast to Rio de Janeiro.  A few showers may reach into Zona de Mata and Espirito Santo. Most of the daily rainfall will continue light varying from 3 to 10 millimeters with a rare occurrence of 15-20 millimeters. Most of the advertised rainfall is not expected to be great enough to change crop or soil conditions, but there will be more showers during that period of time than during any day this week.

                        Some additional cooling is expected today into the coming weekend in southern coffee production areas. The cooling trend will lower daily high temperatures to the lower and middle 20s south while staying mostly in the middle and upper 20s to lower 30s in the north. Lowest morning temperatures will be in the range of 8 to 15 in the south and 10 to 18 with a few readings over 20 in the north. In contrast, today will generate many highs in the upper 20s through the middle 30s with extreme highs of 35-37 in northern Minas Gerais and central Bahia.