Arabica-Coffee Futures Slip to Fresh More Than 4-Year Low
NEW YORK - Arabica-coffee futures slid to a fresh more than four-year low
Friday as expectations for massive supplies continued to weigh on the market.
Brazilian coffee growers are expected to harvest 47.5 million 60-kilogram
(132-pound) bags of coffee this year, a record for an "off-year" harvest,
government crop agency Conab said earlier this month.
No. 1 coffee grower and exporter Brazil's two-year coffee production cycle is
characterized by alternating years of higher and lower productivity, and 2013
is a down year.
"Harvest pressure from Brazil's very large off-year crop is continuing to
weigh on the market," said Sterling Smith, a futures specialist at Citigroup in
Chicago. And, "beneficial rains are being seen in most of Brazil's coffee
growing areas, which will allow the 2014 crop to get off to a good start."
Arabica coffee for December delivery on the ICE Futures U.S. exchange ended
down 1% at $1.1465 a pound in thin volume trade, the lowest settlement since
July 10, 2009.
Coffee had rallied Thursday for the first time in four sessions after the
U.S. dollar weakened against the Brazilian real, following the Fed's decision
to maintain its bond-buying program.
A stronger real discourages growers and processors from selling their
products abroad, since they would receive less of the local currency back for
the dollar-denominated commodities.
But the real has since weakened against the dollar, and the market is still
worried about big supplies.
"I think coffee is probably going to see new lows" in the near-term, said
Hernando de la Roche, senior vice president at INTL FCStone in Miami. There are
simply "plenty of supplies" to go around, he added.
Cocoa futures eased Friday after the market failed to retest the key
technical and psychological level of $2,650 a ton.
Cocoa futures touched a one-year high of $2,657 a ton in intraday trade
Thursday before pulling back, but the market continues to be supported by
concerns about the quantity and quality of the upcoming West African cocoa
harvest.
Traders say dry weather in the No. 1 cocoa-producing region during a key
period of growth could hurt output.
Cocoa for December delivery on the ICE Futures U.S. exchange ended 0.8% lower
at $2,608 a ton.
Raw sugar for October delivery settled 0.1% higher at 17.18 cents a pound,
and cotton for December delivery closed down 0.2% at 84.52 cents a pound.
Orange-juice futures bucked the general trend in softs, ending up 0.2% at
$1.2555 a pound as investors took profits from short positions.
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