Coffee Futures Tumble to More Than Seven-Year Low; Sugar Slips
DJones - Leslie Josephs
NEW YORK - Arabica-coffee prices slid to the lowest level in more than seven
years as growers in Central America and Colombia bring in their harvests amid
tepid demand from roasters.
Arabica coffee for delivery in December fell 1.9% to $1.0150 a pound, the
lowest close for the most actively traded contract since Sept. 14, 2006, on the
ICE Futures U.S. exchange.
Prices for arabica beans, which comprise the majority of world production,
have tumbled 29% this year as a second bumper crop from top grower Brazil hit
international markets. The latest drop is fueled as the harvests from Central
America and Colombia add to already ample supplies.
The International Coffee Organization, a London-based trade group, expects
global arabica-coffee supplies to outpace demand by four million bags in the 12
months that began Oct. 1.
The price drop for arabica has rattled growers, who say they are producing
the coffee at a loss. The ICO estimates the cost of producing one pound of
arabica coffee beans in Colombia and Central America is $1.10 to $1.15.
"This year will be the second year in a row that we will have operational
losses," said Juan Pablo Echeverri, who farms 200 hectares of coffee in
Manizales, Colombia. "At these prices, the effects on the state of the coffee
plantation will be disastrous."
Also driving prices lower are expectations of another big crop from Brazil
again next year. Flowering, an indication of the size and health of next
season's crop, has begun. "The flowering in Brazil was very good," said
Christian Wolthers, president of Wolthers America, a Florida-based importer of
central American and Brazilian coffee.
But despite the price drop, roasters aren't rushing to buy beans.
"The incentive isn't there to buy out too much," said Tom Isaia, president of
Coffee Express Co., a roaster based in Plymouth Township, Mich. "There's risk
involved."
If prices fall further, roasters could be stuck with more expensive stock,
Mr. Isaia said.
"If we knew that in September of 2014 coffee would be 40 cents more a pound,
you'd see everybody stumbling all over each other to buy some," he said.
In other markets, raw sugar for March delivery fell 0.9% to 18.10 cents a
pound, the lowest settlement since Sept. 27.
"The main pressure seems to have been the weakening real," said Michael
Liddiard, senior vice president at New York-based Agrilion Commodity Advisers
LLC. The Brazilian currency hit an eight-week low against the U.S. dollar in
intraday trade Wednesday.
The weaker currency in Brazil, the No. 1 sugar and coffee grower, encourages
exports of the commodities because producers receive more reais back for their
crops sold abroad in U.S. dollars.
Orange juice for January delivery ended up 1.2% at $1.2475 a pound, the
highest settlement since Oct. 14. Cocoa for delivery in December closed 0.2%
lower at $2,730 a ton, while cotton for December delivery settled 1.5% higher
at 77.07 cents a pound.
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