Cocoa Futures Remain at 23-Month High on Supply Concerns
NEW YORK - Cocoa futures rose to their highest price in nearly two years
Tuesday as traders bet that weather in West Africa would continue to interfere
with supplies.
Heavy rains in the region are "slowing the shipment of a lot of cocoa into
the ports," said Fain Shaffer, president of Indianapolis-based brokerage
Infinity Trading Corp. West Africa is the source of about 70% of the world's
cocoa, the key ingredient for chocolate.
The rain isn't expected to reverse the effects of dry weather in July and
August, when the main crop was developing, traders and analysts said. As a
result, the beans being harvested may be of lower quality or fewer in quantity.
"I think that there's a little bit more upside" to prices, Mr. Shaffer said.
Cocoa for December delivery on the ICE Futures U.S. exchange ended 0.7%
higher at $2,718 a ton Tuesday, the highest settlement since November 2011.
Demand for cocoa beans ahead of the holiday season in the U.S. has also
buoyed prices for the chocolate ingredient. U.S. warehouse stock piles are at
their lowest level since Feb. 26, and are down 6% from a year ago.
Traders also expect that cocoa grindings--the tonnage of beans processed in
Europe and North America-- will rise in the third quarter. Grindings are viewed
as a measure of demand for chocolate.
The International Cocoa Organization estimates global cocoa supplies will
fall short of demand by about 70,000 tons in the 2013-14 season, which started
Oct. 1. The forecast came after supplies missed demand by 52,000 tons in the
2012-13 season, the first supply deficit since 2010.
Cotton for delivery in December on ICE ended 0.4% lower at 83.69 cents a
pound, the lowest settlement since Sept. 9. Futures tumbled 3.6% during the
previous session after Tropical Storm Karen left growing areas in the
Southeastern U.S. largely unscathed.
"The tropical storm did no damage, and (investors) really slammed (the
market)," said Mike Seery, president of Seery Futures, a brokerage in
Plainfield, Ill. And "with the harvest coming in, you're going to get that
supply and maybe some harvest pressure" on the market, he added.
Raw sugar for March delivery settled 0.2% higher at 18.62 cents a pound, a
near 7-month high, on concerns about supplies in Brazil, the No. 1 producer of
the sweetener. Heavy rains have disrupted harvesting during the tail end of the
sugar-cane crop, pinching supplies as mills prioritize the production of
ethanol over sugar this season.
Arabica coffee for December delivery ended 0.5% higher at $1.1505 a pound,
and orange juice for delivery in November closed 1.1% higher at $1.2920 a pound
in very thin trade.
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