Evening Weather Update For February 4, 2015

COMMENTS AND SUMMARY

SOUTH AMERICA

The GFS evening model run was a little wetter from Cordoba into Santa Fe early next week and was drier in western Argentina Feb. 14-16 and in most of Brazil Feb. 17-19. A small increase in precipitation was suggested for central Argentina Feb. 17-19, as well.

South America (Week 1-Discussion of significant model changes)

· GFS model increased rainfall Monday into Wednesday from Cordoba to southern Santa Fe where amounts of 0.20 to 0.75 inch were suggested previously and amounts this evening were suggested to range from 0.50 to 1.50 inches

The precipitation increase was possibly a little overdone

South America (Week 2-Discussion of significant model changes)

· GFS model reduced rain in most of western Argentina Feb. 14-16 with rainfall of 0.75 to 3.00 inches and local totals over 4.00 inches previously now varying from 0.05 to 0.50 inch

The reduction in rain was badly needed and the forecast is more likely to verify now relative to that of earlier today

· GFS model increased rainfall Feb 17-19 in central Argentina with amounts of 0.25 to 0.80 inch with local totals to 1.75 inches previously

The increase in precipitation may have been slightly overdone

· GFS model reduced rainfall Feb 17-19 in most of Brazil with rainfall of 0.50 to 1.25 inches in the south and 0.05 to 0.60 inch in the northeast which is down from 0.75 to more than 3.00 inches in the south and 0.50 to 1.50 inches in the northeast previously

The reduction in precipitation was necessary and evening solution has a much better chance of verifying

The evening model run corrections from mid-day today were needed changes and restores confidence in our official forecast from earlier today. No change to the official forecast is necessary based on this model run.

WORLD WEATHER, INC.’S EXPECTATIONS AND IMPACT ON CROPS

The bottom line tonight still offers timely rainfall for both Brazil and Argentina crop areas during the next two weeks. The outlook remains favorable and supportive of most crop needs. Portions of Argentina will briefly dry out during the coming week, as will southern Brazil, but timely rainfall next week will see to it that the dryness does not create a stressful environment for crops long enough to harm production potentials. Relief is also expected in northeastern Brazil where drought-like conditions have prevailed for a few weeks. The rain in Bahia, northern and eastern Minas Gerais and Espirito Santo will be greatest tonight into Sunday before diminishing once again next week.

ICE Coffee Climbs in Corrective Move -- Technical AnalysisKira Brecht

 

  ICE March coffee futures are climbing on Wednesday, as the market strengthens in a counter-trend
rally move. The primary trend for March coffee futures is bearish and for now the gains are merely
corrective to the downtrend pattern.
ICE March coffee recently traded up 425 points at $1.6500 a pound.
  On Feb. 3, the March coffee contract slid to its lowest level since late February 2014, marking
out near-term support at $1.5840. Wednesday's gains have propelled the coffee contract above its
initial 10-day moving average resistance at $1.6302, which is a minor short-term positive signal.
  Overall, a daily downtrend pattern is seen on the March coffee chart from the October 2014 peak at
$2.2910. The most recent swing high resistance comes in at $1.6990, the Jan. 28 daily high. That
level is a target and resistance for the bulls near term. Sustained gains above that swing high
would be needed to confirm a minor near-term bottom on the daily chart and to open the door to a
more significant counter-trend move. If initial resistance at $1.6990 holds firm, the technical
trend favors sideways to lower trade.
  On the upside, if the bulls manage to plough through resistance at $1.6990 it would trigger a
minor bullish chart signal. Next upside resistance is seen at the 40-day moving average, at $1.7040,
and then a major swing high resistance ceiling at $1.8490, the Jan. 12 daily high.
  Daily momentum studies are moderately favorable. The nine-day relative strength index is pointing
higher at 48% in midmorning trade.
   Nearby support has formed at $1.5840, but gains above resistance at $1.6990 would be needed to
confirm a minor bottom and to open the door to more significant counter-trend strength in the coffee
market.

Brazil’s Cooxupe Cuts Coffee-Crop Outlook 14% Amid Dry Weather

 

Cooxupe, nation’s top coffee exporter and grower cooperative, will harvest 3.8m bags this yr as dryness caused plants to lose leaves and cut yield potential, says Lucio Dias, commercial director.

 

That’s down from previous est. of 4.4m bags, Dias says by telephone from Minas Gerais, nation’s top-producing state

 

NOTE: Arabica futures last yr surged 50% in N.Y after drought in Brazil, world’s biggest grower and shipper

 

“The situation is much different than last yr”

 

While in 2014 damage occurred mostly in southern parts of Minas Gerais, this season dryness is also affecting other major producing areas, including Bahia, Cerrado and Espirito Santo, hurting both arabica and robusta crops, Dias says, after touring major growing areas

 

NOTE: Last yr, Brazil had record shipments, industry data show

 

“Our members have no inventories left because the demand was so strong last year,” and they used stockpiles to make up for the smaller harvest

 

“By Nov. or Dec., the supply situation will be very tight, and the drought will probably affect production next year as well”

 

Cooxupe will procure 1.2m bags of beans from other co-ops to meet supply commitments, Dias says

 

NOTE: A bag weighs 60 kgs, or 132 lbs

 

Bloomberg

Early Ag Weather Watch - Feb 3

EARLY LOOK WEATHER REPORT

 

NATIONAL TEMPERATURE/RAINFALL EXTREMES:
HIGH MON...86 AT POMPANO BEACH FL
LOW  MON...31 BELOW ZERO AT EMBARRASS MN AND COTTON MN
24 HOUR RAINFALL AT 7PM: NEWARK NJ 1.17 INCH

 

US OUTLOOK AND MODEL DISCUSSION 6-10 DAY PERIOD:

 

The US and European models are in fair to good agreement during the first
few days of the 6-10 day period, only fair agreement at the end of the period.
I am using mostly today's European model as it concerns the end of the period.
The models both suggest that the coldest weather in Canada will retreat
northward during the first few days of the period. A weak to moderate trough
develops over the eastern US during this period which may maintain somewhat
colder weather but not the extreme cold that would be associated with Arctic
type air masses. The precipitation chances are highest east of this trough and
mainly for the east coast states but possibly as far west as the Michigan/Ohio
area of the Midwest.
The European model maintains a weak trough over the Midwest with a somewhat
stronger trough over the southeast US at the end of this period. This suggest
somewhat cooler temperatures but not very cold weather. It is also a little
unsettled but probably not to the point of above normal precipitation, except
possibly through the southeast to the middle Atlantic region.
The US model shows the polar trough dropping south again over eastern Canada
towards the end of the period with a new Arctic high moving out of northwest
Canada towards the Great Lakes region. This suggests a colder trend for at
least the north and east Midwest and possibly more widespread than that. This
model does not show much of a southeast US trough as the European model
suggests. This solution is only supported on 2 out of the members of the
ensemble run of the US model and is therefore giving less weight than the
operational run of the European model. The European model mean of it's ensemble
run supports the weaker trough over the Midwest and east US. It does not show
the stronger southeast US trough but this is likely due to the averaging of the
model rather than any strong preference.

 

MAJOR WORLD HIGHLIGHTS/IMPACT:

 

BRAZIL (CORN/SOYBEANS): A tendency for below normal rainfall and above
temperatures in RGDS will bear watching but as of now conditions still favor
developing crops. No significant concerns elsewhere in the key growing areas
but the current hot spell in Mato Grosso also bears watching.

 

SAO PAULO/MINAS GERAIS, BRAZIL: A recent increase in shower and thundershower
activity will help improve conditions for key coffee,  citrus and sugarcane
areas of Sao Paulo and southern Minas Gerais. Showers have also helped ease
stress to coffee trees in central Minas Gerais, however this area is still
seeing below normal rainfall with a tendency for above normal temperatures. The
forecast charts suggest a more widespread rain event is possible for most of
Minas Gerais later this week or during early next week. .

 

ARGENTINA (CORN,SOYBEANS): Mostly favorable conditions for crops at this time.
Brief periods of hot temperatures and periodic shower activity will favor
developing corn and soybeans. However, during the next 7 days it does not
appear very wet, except possibly in La Pampa, southwest Buenos Aires and
Cordoba where thundershowers may be more active.

 

EAST MIDWEST/DELTA (WHEAT): A deep snow cover will protect the north and
central wheat areas from any cold weather during this week. A warming trend
appears likely for the 6 to 10 day period. Snow cover and recent precipitation
will maintain favorable soil moisture for the region as it melts during the
coming months. We may need to keep an eye on spring moisture to determine the
risk of spring flooding.

 

WEST MIDWEST (TRANSPORTATION): The weekend snow storm has likely impacted
transport through southern and eastern areas. However, the weather pattern
during this week looks more favorable.

 

CENTRAL/SOUTH PLAINS (WHEAT/LIVESTOCK): The weekend precipitation is favorable
for winter wheat. No significant cold weather is indicated. No major concerns
in the key feed lots of southwest Kansas and the Texas Panhandle despite
weekend moisture.

 

SOUTH AFRICA (MAIZE/SUGARCANE): Reproductive to filling maize and sugarcane has
likely benefited from a recent increase in rainfall and from cooler
temperatures. The week ahead looks somewhat warmer and drier but this does not
appear to be overly concerning at this time.

 

UKRAINE/WEST AND SOUTH RUSSIA: Above normal temperatures and rain has melted
protective snow cover through central and east Ukraine during the past 5 days.
The moisture and moderate temperatures favor overwintering wheat but the lack
of snow cover leaves the crop vulnerable in the event of a turn to colder
weather. Also, some risk for freeze-thaw cycles leading to increasing
winterkill even if it doesn't turn very cold. Soils moisture is adequate to
surplus at this time.

 

INDIA (WINTER WHEAT): Light to moderate showers have occurred through key wheat
areas of Pakistan and northwest to north-central India during January. Winter
wheat will benefit from these showers as crop development advances. Showers
also fell through some of the winter rapeseed region during the month.

 

EXPANDED SUMMARIES FORECASTS:

 

Midwest corn, soybean and winter wheat

 

Summary...

 

WEST: Mostly dry during the past 24 hours. Temperatures averaged below normal.

 

EAST: Mostly dry. Temperatures averaged below normal.

 

Forecast...

 

WEST: Dry or with only a little light snow in northeast areas today or tonight
and in southern areas Wednesday or Wednesday night. Dry Thursday. Temperatures
average below normal, possibly well below normal for a time.
Mostly dry Friday. Chance for light snow, favoring north and east areas,
during Saturday. Drier again Sunday. Temperatures average above to well above
normal west, near to above normal east.

 

EAST: Dry or with only a little light snow north during today or tonight and
through southern and eastern areas during Wednesday or Wednesday night. Dry
Thursday. Temperatures average below normal during this period, possibly well
below normal at times.
Mostly dry Friday. Chance for snow or snow squalls, favoring north and east
areas, during Saturday and Saturday night. Drier again during Sunday.

 

Temperatures average below normal Friday, near to above normal Saturday and
Sunday.

 

6-10 Day Outlook: Temperatures are expected to average near to above normal
west, near to below normal east. Precipitation near to below normal.

 

Central/Southern Plains (Winter Wheat, Corn, Soybean, Sorghum)

 

Summary: Mostly dry. Temperatures averaged below normal yesterday morning. The
afternoon highs averaged above normal in the west, below normal east.

 

Forecast: Mostly dry today. Chance for light snow or snow showers, favoring
north and east-central areas, during tonight or during Wednesday. Mostly dry
Thursday. Temperatures average above normal today, colder Wednesday and early
Thursday, warmer again later Thursday...much warmer through western areas later
Thursday.
Mostly dry Friday through Sunday. Temperatures average well above normal.
Highs each day range from the 60s to the low or middle 70s.

 

6-10 Day Outlook...Temperatures are expected to average above normal during
this period. Precipitation will likely average near to below normal.

 

Brazil (Wheat, Corn, Soybeans)

 

Summary:
Rio Grande do Sul and Parana: Dry or with only isolated showers in southwest
Parana during the past 24 hours. Temperatures averaged above normal through
western areas, near to below normal east. Highs yesterday 86 to 97F (30-36C)...
hottest in western RGDS.

 

Mato Grosso: Dry or with only isolated light showers during the past 24 hours.
Temperatures averaged above normal with highs 91 to 97F (33-36C) yesterday.

 

Forecast:
Rio Grande do Sul and Parana: Episodes of scattered to widely scattered
showers and thundershowers in Parana today through Thursday. Mainly dry through
RGDS during this time. Temperatures average near to above normal, mostly above
normal through RGDS.
Mostly dry all areas Friday through Sunday. Temperatures average near to
above normal Friday, above normal during the weekend.

 

Mato Grosso: Mostly dry or with only a few light showers today. Chance for a
few showers and thundershowers developing in MGDS during Wednesday or Thursday.
Dry or with only isolated light showers in Mato Grosso Wednesday and Thursday.
Temperatures average near to above normal, mostly above normal through Mato
Grosso.
Scattered to widely scattered showers and thundershowers develop through
Mato Grosso Friday through Sunday. Drier through MGDS during this time.
Temperatures average near to above normal.

 

Central Argentina (Wheat, Corn, Soybeans)

 

Summary: Scattered showers and thunderstorms, 0.30-1.50 inches (8-38 mm) and
locally heavier, occurred through west and north Cordoba and north Santa Fe
during the past 24 hours. Little elsewhere in the region. Temperatures averaged
near to above normal south, near to below normal north. Highs yesterday 86-94F
(30-35C).

 

Forecast: Scattered showers and thundershowers through Cordoba, west and north
Santa Fe today and tonight. A few light showers elsewhere in the region during
this time. Dry or with only a few light to locally moderate showers in La Pampa
and southwest Buenos Aires Wednesday and Thursday. Temperatures average near to
above normal during this period.
Dry or with only a few light showers, favoring the southwest, Friday.
Scattered showers and thundershowers for La Pampa and southern Buenos Aires
during Saturday. Drier again Sunday. The balance of the region continues mostly
dry or with only a few light showers Saturday and Sunday. Temperatures average
near to above normal, mostly above normal through central and southern areas.

 

Joel Burgio

Scattered Thunderstorms To Spread Northward Next Week

 

Kansas City, January 30 (World Weather, Inc.) – Rain was erratic and light in coffee production areas Thursday. The precipitation may be similar today through Sunday before a gradual increase in rainfall from south to north takes place across key coffee areas. Bahia, northern Minas Gerais and Espirito Santo will receive rain by the end of next week. Minas Gerais will be wettest Monday into Wednesday and Zona de Mata should also receive rain by mid- to late-week next week.

 

BRAZIL
Many coffee production areas were unaffected by significant rain Thursday. Showers occurred randomly across central Minas Gerais and from northern Sao Paulo into northern Parana. Rain totals reached 16 millimeters in northern Sao Paulo – mostly outside of coffee areas – and reached 3 millimeters in a part of Cerrado Mineiro, central Minas Gerais and northern Parana.

 

Highest temperatures Thursday were in the upper 20s and lower 30s Celsius most often. However, a few middle and upper 30s were noted in the driest areas of central Bahia, northern and eastern Minas Gerais and from Zona de Mata into Rio de Janeiro. Extreme highs reached 39 in both Zona de Mata and northeastern Minas Gerais.
Very little rain will fall in coffee production areas through Sunday. Totally dry weather is not expected, but the showers that evolve from Parana to southern Sul de Minas will be very brief and light giving way to net drying conditions in most areas. Rainfall will vary from 1 to 15 millimeters with a couple of greater amounts. Coffee areas further north will be left dry.

 

A notable increase in showers and thunderstorms will evolve across the heart of coffee country next week. The precipitation will increase in Sul de Minas and Sao Paulo Sunday into Monday and gradually expand northward to Bahia by late week while continuing daily further to the south. Daily rainfall will be erratic with the majority of production areas impacted at one time or another by this time next week. Rainfall will vary from 8 to 20 millimeters with local totals to 40 each day. Totals by the end of the week next week will vary from 10 to 25 millimeters in Bahia and northern Minas Gerais and 30 to 70 millimeters in most other areas from Sul de Minas southward into Parana. Local totals to near 85 millimeters will be possible, but only in a few locations. Zona de Mata, northeastern Minas Gerais and Bahia will all get relief from recent weeks of very dry conditions, but the rainfall may be erratic and light suggesting a need for additional generalized rain.

 

Additional showers and thunderstorms will occur in the February 7-10 period with Minas Gerais, Zona de Mata and some southern Espirito Santo locations wettest. The moisture will further improve soil and crop conditions. Bahia and northern Espirito Santo will continue receiving the lightest rainfall and some areas from southwestern Sao Paulo into Parana may experience a little net drying, as well. Most of the coffee crop will benefit from next week’s rain and that which prevails into the following weekend.

 

Very little change in daily temperatures will occur through the next ten days. Highs in the upper 20s and lower to middle 30s will occur most often with some upper 30s possible in rain-free areas periodically. Lowest temperatures at night will be mostly in the middle teens to lower 20s.

Chuvas fortes devem aliviar estiagem na próxima semana

Entre 03 e 07 de fevereiro as chuvas mais fortes em pelo menos 50 dias deverão cair sobre áreas estressadas do Espírito Santo, zona da mata de Minas Gerais e sul da Bahia, de acordo com a Somar Meteorologia.

Os totais devem variar entre 50 a 70 milímetros.

“Sem dúvida, se os índices acumulados esperados se materializarem, os problemas associados com a seca vão terminar”, disse Celso Oliveira, meteorologista da Somar.

Nos próximos dias até 02 de fevereiro, uma frente fria também trará ampla umidade para o sul de Minas Gerais, totalizando 50 milímetros em muitas localidades.

O Paraná, São Paulo, cerrado de Minas Gerais e Alta Mogiana devem receber cerca de 30 milímetros.

As informações partem da Bloomberg.

CAFÉ: Clima seco intensifica danos à produtividade no Brasil
As lavouras de café da zona da
mata de Minas Gerais e do Espírito Santo que tiveram menos de 5% do índice
normal de chuvas no último mês terão de 25% a 50% da média nos próximos
dias, disseram meteorologistas da MDA Weather Services.

    O clima adverso permanece como uma grande preocupação para os produtores
de café da região e, segundo a MDA, haverá mais danos às expectativas de
produtividade uma vez que a pouca umidade afeta o desenvolvimento das cerejas em
 partes do Brasil, maior produtor e exportador mundial de café.

    O norte e o oeste de Minas Gerais, maior estado produtor, permanecem
"muito secos", enquanto que outras regiões devem receber chuvas benéficas. 

Coffee Bounces From Major Support Floor -- Technical AnalysisKira Brecht

 

  ICE March coffee futures are firmer in early Wednesday action. The coffee market is bouncing from
a major support floor seen on the daily, but, more importantly, the weekly continuation chart for
ICE coffee. The trend outlook is bearish, but daily momentum studies had reached oversold levels in
recent days and the coffee market is vulnerable to a counter-trend rally phase.
ICE March coffee recently traded up 105 points at $1.6925 a pound.
  On the daily chart, ICE March coffee futures have been under pressure since the October peak at
$2.2910. From there the market tumbled to a low at $1.6010 on Jan. 5, and a minor counter-trend
rally followed. Last week, March coffee fell to test the $1.6010 support floor and hit a new low at
$1.5940 on Jan. 23, but again bounced from that area and continues to strengthen on Wednesday.
  Shifting out to the weekly continuation chart for ICE coffee, the market is bouncing from a major
long-term support zone. The weekly continuation chart reveals major support at the $1.5780 low from
July 2014 and then $1.6010 in early January 2015. Coffee prices are rallying from that zone this
week. That support floor in the $1.5780-$1.6010 zone represents the bottom of a large 11-month
trading range. The coffee market's willingness to hold above that support zone is a positive signal.
Conversely, if a sustained downside breakout were achieved under the $1.5780-$1.6010 zone it would
trigger a strong bearish chart signal for the coffee market.
  Daily momentum studies, including slow stochastics and the nine-day relative strength index hit
oversold levels around Jan. 22 and have now turned higher. Potential "double bottom" type of support
may be forming on the daily chart off the Jan. 5 low at $1.6010 and the Jan. 23 low at $1.5940.
  On the upside, March coffee is testing 20-day moving average resistance at $1.6981 on Wednesday.
Gains through that area would be a short-term bullish signal and would open the door for a test of
major nearby resistance at the Jan. 12 high at $1.8490.
  The trend is bearish for coffee. But, the market has fallen to a major long-term chart support and
is rebounding from that area. Daily momentum studies are turning up and will support a counter-trend
rally move. If gains are seen through the 20-day moving average, the bulls would begin to target a
retest of the January high.

Early Ag Weather Watch - Jan 27

 

EARLY LOOK WEATHER REPORT

 

NATIONAL TEMPERATURE/RAINFALL EXTREMES:
HIGH MON...82 AT ANAHEIM CA
LOW  MON...25 BELOW ZERO AT SARANAC LAKE NY
24 HOUR RAINFALL AT 7PM: NEW YORK CITY NY 0.41 INCH

 

US OUTLOOK AND MODEL DISCUSSION 6-10 DAY PERIOD:

 

The US and European models are in fair to good agreement during the first
2-3 days of the outlook period, fair to poor agreement after that. I am using a
little more of today's European model as it concerns the end of the 6 to 10 day
period.
Today's US model shows a short wave trough moving across the northern
Rockies during day 8. This trough drops southward over the plains before moving
eastward across the Midwest at the end of this period. This would suggest a
better chance for more widespread precipitation for the Midwest during the
outlook period. The European model and it's ensemble run do not see this
trough. This model suggest less chance for precipitation in the Midwest. The
European model also features a slight westward shift to the mean trough in
Canada which would imply a colder trend for the Midwest and possibly even the
eastern plains region.
There is not much of a southern branch during the 6-10 day period which
suggests a drier trend. However, prior to the 6-10 day period a significant
trough moves across the southern plains before turning northeast over the Delta
and Midwest regions. This system may mean beneficial precipitation for the
plains wheat belt, especially over Texas and Oklahoma and possibly in east and
south Kansas and south Colorado as well.

 

MAJOR WORLD HIGHLIGHTS/IMPACT:

 

NORTHEAST US: A Blizzard continues today through the northeast U.S. region.
Travel will likely remain at a standstill today with some improvement possible
tomorrow. Widespread power outages are possible, especially through southeast
New England.

 

BRAZIL (CORN/SOYBEANS): An increase in shower activity has recently helped ease
concerns for corn and soybean areas of Parana, MGDS and Sao Paulo. A few
showers also for Mato Grosso during this period but not as much., Favorable
conditions for crop areas from southern Parana through RGDS.

 

SAO PAULO/MINAS GERAIS, BRAZIL: Increasing shower and thundershower activity
will help improve conditions for key coffee,  citrus and sugarcane areas of Sao
Paulo. Showers have also helped ease stress to coffee trees in Minas Gerais,
however this area is still seeing below normal rainfall with a tendency for
above normal temperatures. This likely will impact production for coffee in the
areas.

 

ARGENTINA (CORN,SOYBEANS): Mostly favorable conditions for crops at this time.
Hot temperatures Sunday and Monday but then cooler conditions again.

 

EAST MIDWEST/DELTA (WHEAT): While it does turn colder at times it does not look
cold enough to impact wheat. No significant precipitation during the 5 day
period, some increase in precipitation during the 5-7 day period.

 

WEST MIDWEST (TRANSPORTATION): No storms during the next 5 days. We may need to
keep an eye on a system for this Sunday but the early call suggests a track
well south of Iowa.

 

CENTRAL/SOUTH PLAINS (WHEAT/LIVESTOCK): No significant cold weather to impact
wheat or livestock during this week. A weak to moderate southern branch trough
may bring beneficial moisture to southern wheat areas late in the week or
during the weekend. It is too soon to tell whether this will impact the key
feed lots of the northern Texas Panhandle and southwest Kansas.

 

SOUTH AFRICA (MAIZE/SUGARCANE): A slow moving upper level trough is expected to
bring widespread shower and thundershower activity to the region within the
next 1 to 3 days. This will favor reproductive to filling maize and sugarcane,
especially after recent above normal temperatures.

 

UKRAINE/WEST AND SOUTH RUSSIA: The Volga valley has recently turned cold but
the wheat in this area is protected by an adequate snow cover. No significant
cold weather for Ukraine, west or south Russia. Some increase in precipitation
may occur later this week or this weekend. This first improves snow cover to
protect wheat and later when it melts will help improve soil moisture.

 

INDIA (WINTER WHEAT): Light to moderate showers have occurred through key wheat
areas of Pakistan and northwest to north-central India during the past week.
Winter wheat will benefit from these showers as crop development advances.
Showers also fell through some of the winter rapeseed region during the past
couple of days.

 

EXPANDED SUMMARIES FORECASTS:

 

Midwest corn, soybean and winter wheat

 

Summary...

 

WEST: Dry or with only a little very light precipitation through eastern most
areas during the past 24 hours. Temperatures averaged above to well above
normal.

 

EAST: A little light precipitation occurred through western areas and in
extreme east locations during the past 24 hours. Temperatures averaged near to
above normal west, below normal east.

 

Forecast...

 

WEST: Mostly dry today and early Wednesday. Chance for a little light
precipitation, favoring northeast areas, Wednesday night. Drier again during
Thursday. Temperatures average above to well above normal today and Wednesday,
cooler Thursday but still likely above normal.
Mostly dry Friday. Chance for light precipitation, favoring southern and
eastern areas, during Saturday. Drier again Sunday. Temperatures continue a
colder trend during this period.

 

EAST: Mostly dry today and during the daytime hours of Wednesday. Chance for
light precipitation, favoring north and east areas, during Wednesday night and
early Thursday. Temperatures average near to above normal west and below normal
east today and Wednesday, near to above normal Thursday.
Mostly dry Friday and early Saturday. Light to moderate precipitation,
heaviest south and east areas, later Saturday or during Saturday night and
Sunday. Temperatures average near to below normal during this period.

 

6-10 Day Outlook: Temperatures are expected to average near to below during
this period. Precipitation near to below normal through western and northeast
areas, near to above normal through southeast locations.

 

Central/Southern Plains (Winter Wheat, Corn, Soybean, Sorghum)

 

Summary: Mostly dry during the past 24 hours. Temperatures averaged well above
normal with highs yesterday averaging 63 to 78F, warmest in Oklahoma and
north-central Texas.

 

Forecast: Mostly dry today through Thursday. Temperatures average well above
normal today and Wednesday, cooler Thursday but still significantly above
normal. Highs may reach to 80F today in western and southern areas and again
tomorrow in southern locations.
Light to moderate precipitation through the north Texas area and Oklahoma
during Friday into Saturday. Chance for mostly light precipitation elsewhere in
the region during this time. This activity may favor south Colorado, south and
east Kansas. Drier again during Sunday. Temperatures average near to below
normal during this period.

 

6-10 Day Outlook...Temperatures are expected to vary somewhat during this
period. Precipitation will likely average near to below normal.

 

Brazil (Wheat, Corn, Soybeans)

 

Summary:
Rio Grande do Sul and Parana: A few thundershowers were reported yesterday in
northern Parana. Dry or with only isolated light showers elsewhere in the
region. Temperatures averaged near to above normal south, near to below normal
north.

 

Mato Grosso: Scattered thundershowers were reported in southern MGDS during
the past 24 hours. A few light showers with locally heavier elsewhere in the
region during this time. Temperatures averaged near to below normal.

 

Forecast:
Rio Grande do Sul and Parana: Chance for scattered showers and thundershowers
through eastern and northern Parana today or during tonight. Scattered showers
and thundershowers develop in RGDS and spread to Parana during Wednesday and
Thursday. Temperatures average near to above normal south and near to below
normal north today, near to below normal tomorrow and Thursday.
Scattered showers may linger over east and north Parana Friday, drier
elsewhere in the region Friday. Mostly dry during the weekend. Temperatures
average near to below normal during this period.

 

Mato Grosso: Scattered to widely scattered showers and thundershowers today.
Scattered showers and thundershowers may favor MGDS and southern Mato Grosso
tomorrow and MGDS during Thursday. Temperatures average near to below normal
during this period.
Mostly dry or with only a few light showers Friday through Sunday in Mato
Grosso. Episodes of scattered to widely scattered showers and thundershowers in
MGDS during this time. Temperatures average near to above normal, warmest
through northern areas.

 

Central Argentina (Wheat, Corn, Soybeans)

 

Summary: Scattered showers, 0.12-0.75 inch (3-19 mm) and locally heavier,
occurred through La Pampa, west and south Buenos Aires yesterday. Satellite
pictures suggest that this activity as moved over northern Buenos Aires during
the night. Temperatures averaged near to below normal south, above normal
north. Highs yesterday were 88-99F (31-37C) in Cordoba and Santa Fe, 86-94F
(30-34C) in northern Buenos Aires, 77-84F (25-29C) in southern Buenos Aires and
La Pampa.

 

Forecast: Scattered light to moderate showers and thundershowers today and
Wednesday, favoring east and north Buenos Aires, Santa Fe and Cordoba. Mainly
dry or with only a few light showers during Thursday. Temperatures average near
to above normal today, cooler tomorrow, warmer in the west and continued cooler
east during Thursday.
Dry or with only a few light showers, favoring the west and especially the
southwest, during Friday and Saturday. Isolated to widely scattered showers are
possible during Sunday. Temperatures average near to above normal during this
period.

 

Joel Burgio